FNUS75 KBYZ 031257
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR RESERVOIR FIRE...FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
657 AM MDT MON OCT 3 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0638 MDT ON OCTOBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS WILL FOLLOW TERRAIN INFLUENCES TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE WINDS
WILL BE BATTLING SURFACE TENDENCIES TONIGHT...SO THEY MAKE GET
ERRATIC OVERNIGHT. THE WINDS WILL INCREASE TUESDAY AND BE OUT OF
THE SOUTHWEST. EXPECT SOME GUSTS IN THE AFTERNOON...WITH THE
STRONGER GUSTS ON TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ON THE WARM
SIDE WITH HUMIDITIES FALLING INTO THE 20S. THERE IS A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND
TUESDAY AS WELL. MUCH COOLER AND WETTER WEATHER WILL COME INTO THE
SITE LATE THIS WEEK. SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS THURSDAY
NIGHT NEAR THE SITE. TWH


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................9 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......DOWNSLOPE 4 TO 12 MPH THIS MORNING. BECOMING
                    UPSLOPE BY LATE MORNING. WINDS INCREASING TO
                    8 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................13 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST 4 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING. WINDS
                    TURNING EAST TO NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................8 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS TO 26 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...HUMPHREY
REQUESTED BY...MARVIN MATTHIESEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20111003.RESER.01/BYZ