FNUS75 KCYS 031628
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR FERRIS MOUNTAIN...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1028 AM MDT MON OCT 3 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1003 MDT ON OCTOBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SURFACE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
WYOMING TODAY WITH SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS. ISOLATED HIGH
BASED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP TODAY AFTER 2 PM AND
END BY 8 PM. MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AHEAD OF A
DEVELOPING SYSTEM ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
INCREASE ON TUESDAY AS WINDS ALOFT AND THE SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT STRENGTHEN WITH SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ACROSS
NORTH CENTRAL WYOMING. TUESDAY LOOKS DRIER ACROSS THE BURN AREA.
COOLER AND MORE BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR ON WEDNESDAY AS A
WEATHER DISTURBANCE APPROACHES FROM COLORADO. WEDNESDAY STILL LOOKS
DRY ACROSS THE BURN LOCATION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTH AROUND
                    10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH AFTER 3 PM.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (12600-139400 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 2 TO 6 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2400-35600 KNOT-FT).

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING...
                    INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON
                    WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 24 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO EXCELLENT (18500-157600 KNOT-FT).

.OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
WEDNESDAY WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
LOWER 60S. IT WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY AND BREEZY WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH
LOWS NEAR 44. THURSDAY WILL BE PARTLY SUNNY AND BREEZY WITH A CHANCE
OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND A HIGH NEAR 55. THERE
IS A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ON FRIDAY WITH HIGHS ONLY NEAR
46 DEGREES. SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WILL SEE A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S AND LOW TEMPERATURES IN
THE MID 30S.

$$
FORECASTER...RUBIN
REQUESTED BY...ZACH HARTSHORN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20111003.FERRI.01/CYS