FNUS73 KMPX 031254
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST POOL ISLAND...FWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
754 AM CDT MON OCT 3 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON OCTOBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...SEVERE FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...

A WARM AND DRY PERIOD WILL PERSIST ACROSS MINNESOTA FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. MINIMUM AFTERNOON HUMIDITY TODAY WILL DROP TO 20 TO 25
PERCENT ALONG WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS WILL REACH
NEAR 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........71 AT IGNITION...MAX 83.
RH..................34 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2600-42800) INCREASING TO FAIR TO
                    EXCELLENT (28100-76400) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-4400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    3300-4900 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 1800 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 14 TO 23 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............60     71     81     83     79     69
RH..............49     34     24     23     26     37
20 FT WIND......S 9    S 11   S 14   S 14   SE 10  SE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     25     25     15     10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 54.
RH..................MAX 66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000-3700).

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 86.
RH..................MIN 28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE TO OR HIGH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3500-41000) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (50400-80700) IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    DECREASING TO FAIR (24600) LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-4200 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 1600
                    FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 18 TO 25 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...HILTBRAND
REQUESTED BY...DAN ANGELO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111003.EASTP.01/MPX