FNUS75 KMSO 031603
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR WEE TEPEE 100H
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1003 AM MDT MON OCT 3 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 MDT ON OCTOBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WARM AND FAIRLY DRY SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL DOMINATE TODAY.
SOME OF THE SOUTH WINDS ALOFT SHOULD MIX DOWN TO THE RIDGE TOP LEVEL.
HOWEVER...MOST OF THE NORTHERLY ASPECT SHOULD BE SHELTERED FROM STRONGER
WINDS.  THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY
NEAR RIDGETOP.   THE AIR MASS SHOULD MOISTEN THIS EVENING INTO
TUESDAY MORNING AS A COLD FRONT SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY ACROSS THE AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A FEW LATE AFTERNOON BUILDUPS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT NEAR RIDGETOP AND 40-45 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    LOWER TO MID PORTION OF THE NORTHERLY ASPECT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5-9 MPH NEARLY RIDGETOP...OTHERWISE
                    VARIABLE TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL THIS AFTERNOON NEAR RIDGETOP.
                    MIXING HEIGHTS REMAINING BELOW 1000 FT AGL ON MUCH OF
                    THE NORTH ASPECT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR A THUNDERSTORM IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 3-8 MPH EARLY EVENING...THEN BECOMING
                    WEST 5-10 MPH TOWARD MORNING.  GUSTY WINDS TO
                    30 MPH NEAR ANY SHOWERS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 MPH BECOMING WEST LATE.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BAUCK
REQUESTED BY...SCHRENK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111003.WEETE.01/MSO