FNUS76 KMTR 031445
FWSMTR

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOUSING BURN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MONTEREY CA
745 AM PDT MON OCT 3 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT IS OFFSHORE WITH RAIN IN THE NORTH BAY THIS
MORNING. HOWEVER AS THE FRONT MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MONTEREY COUNTY
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING IT IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN
CONSIDERABLY WITH ONLY TRACE AMOUNTS OF RAIN EXPECTED OVER THE BURN
SITE. THE PRESENCE OF THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAY BRING STRONGER WINDS
JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE WHICH WOULD BE A CONCERN FOR LONG RANGE
SPOTTING SHOULD A DEEP SMOKE COLUMN DEVELOP. OTHERWISE EXPECT
INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS TODAY WITH LIGHT WEST WINDS. DRY AND
SEASONABLY COOL ON TUESDAY. A STRONGER FRONT ARRIVES ON WEDNESDAY
WITH WETTING RAINS...EVEN AT FHL...ALONG WITH GUSTY PRE-FRONTAL
SOUTHERLY WINDS.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT 10/3/11
   SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY...THEN INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS.
   TEMPERATURE.........60...HIGH 76-79
   HUMIDITY............50 PCT...MIN 25-30 PCT
   EYE LEVEL WIND......NORTHEAST 1-4 MPH BECOMING UPSLOPE 3-7 MPH
                       BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
   20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                       6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS 18 MPH LATE IN THE DAY.
   CWR.................5 PCT
   LAL.................1
   MARINE LAYER........NONE

FOR TONIGHT
   SKY/WEATHER.........A FEW SPRINKLES OR SHOWERS POSSIBLE OTHERWISE
                       PARTLY CLOUDY.
   TEMPERATURE.........LOW 45-50
   HUMIDITY............MAX 90-100 PCT
   EYE LEVEL WIND......NORTH 3-6 MPH EVENING GUST TO 10 MPH.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH TURNING NORTHWEST
OVERNIGHT.
   CWR.................5-10 PCT
   LAL.................1
   MARINE LAYER........NONE

OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY
   SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY
   TEMPERATURE.........HIGH 72-76
   HUMIDITY............MIN 35-40 PCT
   EYE LEVEL WIND......NORTH-NORTHWEST 3-6 MPH...STRONGEST AFTERNOON.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST 5-10 MPH
   CWR.................1 PCT
   LAL.................1
   MARINE LAYER........NONE

FORECASTER...R WALBRUN

$$

REQUESTED BY...CALLAHAN
REASON FOR REQUEST...ESSENTIAL TO PUBLIC SAFETY, E.G. DUE TO THE PROXIMITY OF
POPULATION CENTERS OR CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE.