FNUS75 KPIH 031256
FWSPIH

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAWMILL RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
656 AM MDT MON OCT 3 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 MDT ON OCTOBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN INITIAL DISTURBANCE SPINS OFF THE PACIFIC LOW
PRESSURE TROUGH TODAY TO BRING WIDELY SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO THE BURN AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. A
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL BE LOCATED SOME DISTANCE TO THE WEST OF
THE FIRE BUT WILL NOT CROSS THE FIRE. SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN
SOUTH AND GUSTY TODAY AND TONIGHT. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS ARE
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT....THEN RAIN BECOMES LIKELY ON TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 58-60F.
RH..................MIN 38-41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    30 MPH.
CWR.................9 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR 1300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 22 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.
LAL.................1...THEN 2 IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49.
RH..................MAX 75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    30 MPH.
CWR.................9 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.
LAL.................4.

$$
FORECASTER...SURVICK
REQUESTED BY...STEVE CLEZIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111003.SAWMI.01/PIH