FNUS75 KPUB 021312
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR TROUT CREEK RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
712 AM MDT SUN OCT 2 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY WORK
WEEK WITH SOME SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE OVER THE REGION BRINGING A
DAILY THREAT OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
THE MAIN THREAT FROM THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE GUSTY WINDS TO AROUND
40 MPH AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

GRADIENT WINDS WILL BE INCREASING AHEAD OF A POTENT STORM SYSTEM
MOVING INTO THE WESTERN U.S. THROUGH MID WEEK. THIS STORM SYSTEM
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE GREAT BASIN ON THURSDAY AND ACROSS
COLORADO ON FRIDAY BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS
ACROSS THE AREA ALONG COOLER TEMPERATURES AND CHANCES FOR RAIN AND
HIGHER ELEVATION SNOWFALL. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS COULD
BE MET ACROSS AREA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1300...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY
                    (60 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-8 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH
                    POSSIBLE NEAR ANY SHOWERS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 11500 FT AGL AFTER
                    1200.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 4 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200 THEN GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(61 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY(30 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48F.
MAX HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST TO SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN
                    WEST SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2100...THEN 2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1300...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY
                    (60 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75F.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 10000 FT AGL AFTER
                    1200.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. GOOD AFTER 1300.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.

$$
FORECASTER...WANKOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111003.TROUT.03/PUB