FNUS75 KRIW 041025 FWSRIW SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTON POINT...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 425 AM MDT TUE OCT 4 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1839 MDT ON OCTOBER 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... TODAY WILL SEE INCREASING CLOUDS WITH SOME SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER OR NEAR THE FIRE AFTER 1200. THIS ACTIVITY WILL NOT BE CONTINUOUS WHICH MEANS THERE WILL BE DRY HOURS BETWEEN ROUNDS OF SHOWER ACTIVITY. EXPECT ISOLATED SHOWERS TONIGHT. WEDNESDAY WILL LOOK SIMILAR TO TODAY WITH THE SHOWER AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FROM NOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THURSDAY LOOKS TO SEE A BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... ...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT... FORECASTER...ROSS .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1200. THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY BY 2100. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60 AT 8000 FEET...54-58 AROUND 10000 FEET. MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY AT 3 TO 6 MPH UNTIL 0900. THEN BECOMING SOUTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH BY 1200. THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH AFTER 1200. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AT 7 TO 12 MPH UNTIL 1200. THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH AFTER 1200. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.11 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO GOOD AFTER 1200. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AFTER 2100...POSSIBLE SNOW SHOWERS AROUND 10000 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-40. MAX HUMIDITY........80-86 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH UNTIL 2100. THEN SOUTH AT 4 TO 9 MPH AFTER 2100. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EARLY EVENING. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR BY MIDNIGHT. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED MORNING RAIN SHOWERS. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60 AT 8000 FEET...52-57 AROUND 10000 FEET. MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY AT 3 TO 6 MPH UNTIL 0900. THEN BECOMING SOUTH AT 7 TO 12 MPH BY 1200. THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 MPH AFTER 1200. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AT 8 TO 13 MPH UNTIL 1200. THEN SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH AFTER 1200. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4000-5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH UNTIL 1200. SOUTH AT 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS GENERALLY AROUND 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS WITH POSSIBLE SNOW SHOWERS ABOVE 9500 FEET. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 25-30. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WINDS GENERALLY AROUND 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS 37-43. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...ROSS REQUESTED BY...DAVID WILKINS REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20111003.NORTO.02/RIW