FNUS75 KRIW 040956
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR RED ROCK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
356 AM MDT TUE OCT 4 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2206 MDT ON OCTOBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
TODAY WILL SEE MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS WITH SCATTERED MORNING SHOWERS
NEAR OR OVER THE FIRE. THEN THERE MAY BE A BRIEF LULL IN THE SHOWERS
LATE IN THE MORNING BEFORE ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOP OVER OR NEAR THE FIRE AFTER 1300. THIS ACTIVITY WILL BEGIN
TO DECREASE AFTER 2100 THIS EVENING...WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
WEDNESDAY WILL SEE A GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. EXPECT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FROM
NOON UNTIL 2100 WEDNESDAY. THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE COLDER AND A CHANCE
FOR MORE RAIN SHOWERS.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...ROSS

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN MORE RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60 AROUND 7500 FEET...50-55 AROUND 9500 FEET.

MIN HUMIDITY........38-45 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL 1100.
                    THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH AFTER 1100.

                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON TO 30 MPH.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AT 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1200.
                    SOUTH AT 15 TO 20 MPH AFTER 1200.

LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.46 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1200.
                    SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH AFTER 1200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING FAIR BY 1200...THEN FAIR TO GOOD IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100.

MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40 AROUND 7500 FEET...AROUND 40 AT 9500 FEET.

MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 8 TO 13 MPH UNTIL 2000.
                    THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER 2000.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AT 10 TO 20 MPH.

LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.35 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 800-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR BY MIDNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.
                    THEN NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60 AROUND 7500 FEET...50-55 AROUND 9500 FEET.

MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1200.
                    THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH AFTER 1200.

                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON TO 30 MPH.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AT 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1200.
                    SOUTH AT 15 TO 20 MPH AFTER 1200.

LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.66 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE EARLY EVENING...THEN NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT...
SNOW SHOWERS AS LOW AS 9000 FEET.  LOWS IN THE 30S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS...SNOW SHOWERS ABOVE 9000
FEET. HIGHS IN THE 40S...30S AROUND 9500 FEET.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...ROSS
REQUESTED BY...ROD DYKEHOUSE
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20111003.REDRO.01/RIW