FNUS75 KABQ 041510 FWSABQ SPOT FORECAST FOR SANTA BARBARA...TAOS DISPATCH CENTER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 910 AM MDT TUE OCT 4 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. DISCUSSION... EXPECT INCREASING SHOWERS THIS MORNING WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER THAN MONDAY OR SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL VALUES. WITH INCREASED SHOWERS AND CLOUD COVER...MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL BE ELEVATED TODAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON...GENERALLY OUT OF THE SOUTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH. THE THREAT FOR SHOWERS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH EXCELLENT HUMIDITY RECOVERIES EXPECTED. SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL GRADUALLY DWINDLE BY LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS REDEVELOPING BY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY WARMER WITH LOWER HUMIDITIES. WINDS WILL BE STRONGER OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST TOMORROW WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. WITH THE INCREASED WINDS...EXPECT VERY GOOD VENTILATION RATES. FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 0905 MDT 10/4/11 CLOUDS/WEATHER......CHANCE OF SHOWERS DEVELOPING BY LATE MORNING THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHC OF PRECIP.......70 PERCENT. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 54-58. RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 58-63 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 6 MPH IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 11 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON AND 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH BY MID-AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 15 KNOTS. MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/90000 KNOT-FT. VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/88622 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING BECOMING FAIR/58679 KNOT-FT BY MID-AFTERNOON. FOR TONIGHT CLOUDS/WEATHER......SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. CHC OF PRECIP.......60 PERCENT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40-44. RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 85-90 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH WITH BRIEF GUSTS UP TO 16 MPH THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. FOR WEDNESDAY CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHC OF PRECIP.......60 PERCENT. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 56-60. RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 42-47 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 20 KNOTS. MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD/120000 KNOT-FT. VENTILATION TREND...VERY GOOD/104148 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING BECOMING GOOD/88370 KNOT-FT BY MID-AFTERNOON. FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED. FORECASTER...21/46 $$ REQUESTED BY...TDC REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111004.SANTA.01/ABQ