FNUS75 KBOU 041111 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR RMR SECTION 6...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 500 AM MDT TUE OCT 4 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SOUTHERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES TOWARD THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AND SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS OVER THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN UNSEASONABLY WARM WITH LOW HUMIDITY LEVELS. THE GUSTY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON MAY CREATE HAZARDOUS BURNING CONDITIONS GIVEN THE VERY DRY NATURE OF FUELS AND LOW HUMIDITY READINGS. THERE WILL BE JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A PASSING SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ON WEDNESDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER ALONG WITH HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS AND LIGHTER WINDS. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO COOL FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH A BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AS THE UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM PASSES ACROSS THE REGION. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1500...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....82. MIN HUMIDITY........20%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-10 MPH UNTIL 1300...THEN SOUTH 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 10400-11400 FT AGL AFTER 1300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. EXCELLENT AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....53. MAX HUMIDITY........58%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16-24 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....76. MIN HUMIDITY........26%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-7 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST 6-7 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...THEN 1600-2600 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 5000-6000 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 9200-10200 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 7400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR RMR SECTION6. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/04-05 24 0 0 57 47 SW 9 9 3 1 SW14 343 SW 8 2245 P 10/04-06 13 0 0 57 49 SW 9 9 3 1 SW13 344 SW 8 2340 P 10/04-07 13 0 0 56 52 SW 8 8 3 1 SW13 602 SW 8 3938 P 10/04-08 13 0 0 59 50 SW 8 8 3 1 SW13 860 SW 8 5536 P 10/04-09 13 0 0 64 42 SW 7 7 3 1 SW13 1118 SW 7 7135 P 10/04-10 13 0 0 70 34 SW 6 6 3 1 SW15 3551 SW 8 25535 P 10/04-11 19 0 0 75 28 SW 6 6 3 1 SW17 5983 SW 8 43935 F 10/04-12 30 10 2 78 25 SW 7 7 3 2 SW20 8416 SW 8 62336 G 10/04-13 41 10 2 80 23 SW 9 9 3 2 SW20 9590 SW12 101086 V 10/04-14 50 10 2 81 22 SW13 17 3 2 SW18 10764 S14 139836 V 10/04-15 58 10 2 82 20 S15 21 3 2 SW18 11938 S17 178586 E 10/04-16 58 10 2 82 20 S16 23 3 2 S20 11481 S21 202971 E 10/04-17 58 10 2 82 20 S16 23 3 2 S22 11023 S24 227357 E 10/04-18 63 10 2 80 22 S16 23 3 2 S23 10566 S28 251742 E 10/04-19 63 10 2 74 27 S14 20 3 2 S25 7721 SW22 174693 E 10/04-20 63 10 2 70 32 SW12 17 2 2 S28 4877 SW17 97644 G 10/04-21 63 10 2 67 36 SW10 10 2 2 S28 2033 SW12 20595 P 10/04-22 63 10 2 65 40 SW10 10 2 2 SW24 1593 SW13 16586 P 10/04-23 63 10 2 63 44 SW12 16 2 2 SW21 1153 SW13 12577 P 10/05-00 48 0 0 61 48 S13 17 2 1 SW16 712 S14 8569 P 10/05-01 48 0 0 60 50 S13 17 2 1 SW14 614 SW13 6817 P 10/05-02 48 0 0 59 54 SW12 12 3 1 S13 516 SW10 5065 P 10/05-03 46 0 0 57 56 SW10 10 3 1 S12 418 SW 9 3313 P 10/05-04 46 0 0 56 58 SW 9 9 3 1 S12 377 SW 8 2834 P 10/05-05 46 0 0 55 57 SW 8 8 3 1 S10 336 SW 8 2356 P 10/05-06 40 0 0 54 56 SW 7 7 3 1 S12 295 SW 7 1878 P 10/05-07 40 0 0 53 56 SW 6 6 3 1 S13 1118 W 6 4666 P 10/05-08 40 0 0 55 51 SW 5 5 3 1 S13 1941 W 6 7453 P 10/05-09 40 0 0 63 38 SW 3 3 3 1 S14 2763 W 5 10241 P 10/05-10 40 0 0 68 32 SW 2 2 3 1 S14 4570 W 5 18746 P 10/05-11 40 0 0 70 30 SE 2 2 2 1 S15 6376 S 5 27250 P 10/05-12 51 10 2 72 28 E 3 3 2 2 S15 8183 S 5 35755 P 10/05-13 51 10 2 73 27 SE 5 5 2 2 S16 8973 S 8 68311 G 10/05-14 51 10 2 74 27 S 7 7 3 2 S17 9764 S12 100867 V 10/05-15 51 10 2 74 26 S 9 14 3 2 S18 10555 S15 133423 V 10/05-16 51 10 2 74 27 SW10 15 3 2 SW18 8980 SW14 111237 V 10/05-17 51 10 2 72 29 W10 16 3 2 SW17 7404 SW14 89051 G 10/05-18 51 7 1 71 31 W10 16 3 1 SW17 5829 SW13 66865 G 10/05-19 51 7 1 66 35 W 9 15 3 1 SW14 4099 SW13 46950 F 10/05-20 51 7 1 63 40 S 9 9 2 1 S13 2368 S13 27034 P 10/05-21 51 7 1 61 42 S 8 8 2 1 S13 638 S13 7119 P 10/05-22 51 7 1 59 45 S 8 8 2 1 S18 640 S13 7206 P 10/05-23 51 7 1 58 46 S 9 9 3 1 SW26 641 S13 7294 P 10/06-00 27 0 0 56 49 S 9 14 3 1 SW35 642 S13 7381 P 10/06-01 27 0 0 55 50 S 9 9 3 1 SW38 538 S13 5904 P 10/06-02 27 0 0 54 51 S 8 8 3 1 SW39 434 S12 4428 P 10/06-03 27 0 0 53 52 S 8 8 3 1 SW39 330 S10 2951 P 10/06-04 27 0 0 52 52 S 8 8 3 1 SW39 353 S10 3065 P 10/06-05 27 0 0 52 52 S 8 8 2 1 SW37 376 S 9 3178 P 10/06-06 31 4 1 51 52 S 8 8 2 1 SW36 399 S 9 3291 P 10/06-07 31 4 1 53 49 S 8 8 2 1 SW35 1694 S13 25680 P 10/06-08 31 4 1 57 41 S 9 15 2 1 SW33 2989 SW16 48068 F 10/06-09 31 4 1 63 33 S12 17 2 1 SW35 4284 SW18 70457 G 10/06-10 31 4 1 68 27 S14 22 2 1 SW43 6047 SW25 152896 E 10/06-11 31 4 1 71 25 S17 26 3 1 SW51 7809 SW32 235335 E 10/06-12 47 10 2 73 23 S21 31 3 2 SW56 9572 S38 317775 E 10/06-13 47 10 2 74 21 S23 35 3 2 SW56 10276 S38 343173 E 10/06-14 47 10 2 75 21 S24 37 3 2 S53 10980 S39 368571 E 10/06-15 47 10 2 75 20 S25 38 3 2 S48 11684 S39 393969 E 10/06-16 47 10 2 74 21 S25 37 3 2 S45 11371 S39 381765 E 10/06-17 47 10 2 73 21 S24 36 3 2 S41 11059 S38 369561 E 10/06-18 41 10 2 71 23 S22 33 3 1 S39 10746 S38 357358 E 10/06-19 41 10 2 66 27 S20 30 3 1 S39 8626 S32 264915 E 10/06-20 41 10 2 62 31 S18 28 2 1 S41 6507 SW26 172472 E 10/06-21 41 10 2 60 33 S16 24 2 1 S45 4387 SW21 80029 G 10/06-22 41 10 2 57 35 SW14 21 2 1 S52 4569 SW20 78095 G 10/06-23 41 10 2 56 36 SW12 18 2 1 S58 4752 SW18 76161 G 10/07-00 33 9 2 54 38 SW10 16 2 1 S61 4934 SW17 74227 G 10/07-01 33 9 2 53 40 SW 9 14 3 1 SW58 4809 SW20 82029 G 10/07-02 33 9 2 51 41 SW 8 8 3 1 SW51 4683 SW22 89832 G 10/07-03 33 9 2 50 42 SW 8 8 4 1 SW44 4558 W24 97634 G 10/07-04 33 9 2 49 43 SW 8 8 4 1 SW40 4634 W26 105401 V 10/07-05 33 9 2 49 43 SW 7 7 4 1 SW38 4711 W28 113168 V 10/07-06 31 8 2 48 44 SW 7 7 3 1 SW36 4787 W29 120936 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JASON FALLON REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111004.RMRSE.01/BOU