FNUS74 KEWX 042350 FWSEWX SPOT FORECAST FOR BASTROP COMPLEX FIRE...BASTROP OEM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 650 PM CDT TUE OCT 4 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1830 CDT ON OCTOBER 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS EVENING SHOULD IMPROVE GRADUALLY AS SOUTHERLY 20-FOOT LEVEL WINDS DECREASE FROM AROUND 8 MPH AT 7 PM TO AROUND 5 MPH...WITH MINIMAL GUSTS. HIGHER MOISTURE LEVELS FROM THE SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BE SLOW TO SPREAD INTO BASTROP COUNTY AS THE NIGHTTIME LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL BECOME SLIGHTLY MORE FROM THE EAST-SOUTHEAST LATE TONIGHT. STILL...RH VALUES WILL RISE STEADILY AS THE REDUCED WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES LOWER TEMPERATURES TO AROUND 65 BY MIDNIGHT. DEW POINTS ARE EXPECTED TO CREEP UP TOWARD DAYBREAK...AND A FEW AREAS OF LOW CLOUDINESS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTH. DRY AIR ABOVE THE SURFACE AND A RETURN OF SOUTHEAST 20-FOOT WINDS AT AROUND 10 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO CREATE ANOTHER ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITION ENVIRONMENT AROUND THE FIRE DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY...BUT RELATIVE HUMDITY VALUES SHOULD BE MUCH SLOWER TO FALL DUE TO THE INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SPREADING FROM THE SOUTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH BECOMING LIGHT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........10 20 20 20 28 28 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............84 77 70 66 64 61 RH..............32 34 45 65 78 86 20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 7 SE 7 SE 6 SE 6 ESE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 10 10 9 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 5 SE 4 SE 4 ESE 4 ESE 4 ESE 3 EYE LEVEL WIND..10 10 15 10 10 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 4 5 5 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85. MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................10 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........28 55 55 55 50 50 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............60 61 69 76 82 85 RH..............88 87 73 51 40 33 20 FT WIND......ESE 3 ESE 3 E 6 SE 7 SE 8 SE 9 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 15 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..ESE 3 ESE 4 SE 5 SE 5 SE 6 SE 6 EYE LEVEL WIND..5 5 10 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...18 REQUESTED BY...STEVEN LONG TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20111004.BASTR.02/EWX