FNUS76 KPDT 041331 CCA
FWSPDT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TRIG 40 A...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
621 AM PDT TUE OCT 4 2011

CORRECTED THE DISCUSSION

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON OCTOBER 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.


.DISCUSSION...FAIR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS MORNING, THOUGH
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE AS THE NEXT PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM BEGINS TO NEAR
THE COAST. SPOTTY LIGHT RAIN SHOULD GRADUALLY DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL AGAIN BE GUSTY AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON.
WETTING RAIN WILL FALL ON THE BURN AREA TONIGHT AS THE NEXT SYSTEM
TRACKS ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL OREGON. SHOWERS WILL
LINGER THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY. THE AIR MASS MAY BECOME UNSTABLE
ENOUGH FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.


***THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS***
***WINDS ARE 20 FOOT 10 MINUTE AVERAGES***
***CWR-CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 OR GREATER***
***FORECAST IS VALID FOR 12 HOURS AFTER ISSUANCE***

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDS INCREASING AND THICKENING THROUGH THE
                    DAY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS 4-8 MPH INCREASING TO
                    SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 6-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH
                    BY NOON...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO WEST
                    11-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 26 MPH AFTER 1600.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-12 MPH INCREASING TO
                    14-19 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR SURFACE RISING TO 1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH 8-14 MPH BECOMING SOUTH TO
                    SOUTHWEST 20-26 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.


        TEMPERATURE     HUMIDITY     20-FT WIND (MPH)
0800        37             89          NW     3-5
1000        41             77          SSE    5-7  G15
1200        45             61          SSE    7-9  G18
1400        48             56          SSE    9-11 G22
1600        47             62          S-SW  12-14 G25
1800        45             76          SW-W  13-15 G26


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH RAIN.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-38.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 11-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    26 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH 6-10 MPH
                    AFTER 2100.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 14-19 MPH BECOMING WEST 9-13 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST-SOUTHWEST 20-26 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST TO
                    SOUTH 10-16 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY THROUGH THE DAY.
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-45.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-10 MPH BECOMING
                    WEST 7-11 MPH BY 1000.
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST WINDS 9-13 MPH DECREASING TO 6-10 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10-16 MPH BECOMING WEST
                    12-18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...GKH
REQUESTED BY...JAMES BISHOP
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111004.TRIG4.01/PDT