FNUS73 KDLH 042101
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST BANKS RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
401 PM CDT TUE OCT 4 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON OCTOBER 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...APPROACHING RED FLAG CRITERIA WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL
PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH SIMILAR CONDITIONS AS OBSERVED TODAY.

AFTERNOON HEATING WILL ALLOW FOR STRONGER WINDS AND DRIER AIR TO
MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE. EXPECT MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
TO 25 PERCENT. HOWEVER...IF TEMPERATURES ARE WARMER THAN
EXPECTED...HUMIDITIES COULD FALL AS LOW AS 20 PERCENT.

SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WILL INCREASE 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
25 MPH. WINDS WILL TURN TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE EVENING...MAINLY
AFTER 1900 LOCAL.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 15
                    MPH WITH GUSTS 50 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING
                    TO 3600 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 25 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (138000) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (98200) LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............54     57     70     75     78     78
RH..............60     52     39     33     27     28
20 FT WIND DIR..S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT WIND SPD..7      8      12     14     12     12
20 FT WIND GUST.13     16     22     24     23     23

$$
FORECASTER...AMANDA
REQUESTED BY...PATTI DESHAW
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111005.EASTB.01/DLH