FNUS73 KMPX 051143
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR KOSTKA...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
643 AM CDT WED OCT 5 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON OCTOBER 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THIS MORNING AND BECOME MORE DUE
SOUTHERLY BY IGNITION TIME. EXPECT SPEEDS TO STAY BETWEEN 9 AND 12
MPH WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. SPORADIC AFTERNOON GUSTS AT THE SURFACE UP
TO 16 MPH APPEAR POSSIBLE. HUMIDITY IS MOST LIKELY TO BOTTOM OUT
BETWEEN 25 AND 30 PERCENT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........73 AT IGNITION...MAX 81.
RH..................37 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH AT IGNITION...MAX 6.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING GOOD (15000-44700) BY IGNITION TIME.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4000 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO
                    1500 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 13 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY (%).........PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............63  68  73  76  79  80  81  80  77  73  69  67
RH..............58  47  37  31  28  28  28  31  36  43  51  54
20 FT WIND DIR..SSE SSE SSE S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..8   9   9   9   10  10  10  9   8   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 54.
RH..................MAX 74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 78.
RH..................MIN 33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW TO OR MODERATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (3000-24300) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (54600-90300) LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (83200-121200) IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    GOOD (45800) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4600 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    4000-5600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 2400 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 16 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 25
                    TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...FRIEDLEIN
REQUESTED BY...RX FIRE SPLST
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111005.KOSTK.01/MPX


SKY (%) LEGEND
CLR = CLEAR
MCR = MOSTLY CLEAR
PC = PARTLY CLOUDY
MC = MOSTLY CLOUDY
CDY = CLOUDY