FNUS75 KPIH 051227
FWSPIH

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAWMILL RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
627 AM MDT WED OCT 5 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MDT ON OCTOBER 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM
MOVING INLAND WILL CROSS THE BURN AREA ABOUT 2000 THIS EVENING.
SOUTH WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL BE BREEZY WITH GUST S UP TO 30
MPH. WINDS SHIFT TO WEST WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE THEN NORTHWEST BY
MIDNIGHT. SNOW LEVELS WILL FALL TO NEAR 8300 FEET LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TO ABOUT 6300 FEET THURSDAY. THE TOTAL LIQUID
EQUIVALENT OF PRECIPITATION MADE EXCEED ONE INCH OVER THE NEXT 36
TO 48 HOURS. FOUR TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW MAY FALL TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY PARTICULARLY AROUND 8000 FEET AND ABOVE. GROUND
TEMPERATURES SHOULD STILL BE WARM AND SOME MELTING IS POSSIBLE.
THE STORM SYSTEM MAY TAKE UNTIL LATE FRIDAY MORNING TO PASS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 44.
RH..................MIN 61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 21 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    INCREASING TO 40 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................68 PERCENT INCREASING TO 80 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FEET AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 AT IGNITION...MAX 2.
LAL.................2.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS...SNOW SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SNOW AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 25.
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH AND GUSTY SHIFTING TO
                    THE NORTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................76 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING.
MIXING WINDS........
HAINES INDEX........2.
LAL.................4...THEN 1 AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SNOW.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 38.
RH..................MIN 72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH.
CWR.................64 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FEET AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...SURVICK
REQUESTED BY...STEVE CLEZIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111005.SAWMI.01/PIH