FNUS73 KUNR 041647
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SLEEZE UNIT 16...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1047 AM MDT TUE OCT 4 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON OCTOBER 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...UPPER RIDGE WILL SHIFT EAST AS A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE WESTERN UNITED STATES. TEMPERATURES WILL
STILL BE ABOVE AVERAGE ON WEDNESDAY...WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
THE COOLER TEMPERATURES AND SOME SLIGHTLY HIGHER ATMOSPHERIC
MOISTURE WILL KEEP AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AROUND 25 TO 30
PERCENT. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO
14 MPH THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

EXTENDED...TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO COOL INTO THE WEEKEND
WITH HIGHS BY SATURDAY ONLY AROUND 50. THURSDAY DURING THE
DAYTIME LOOKS MAINLY DRY...BUT IT LOOKS LIKE THE BEST CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION MOVING THROUGH THE AREA WILL BE LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 TO 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9100 TO 10100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SR
REQUESTED BY...BKF
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111005.SLEEZ.01/UNR