FNUS75 KBOU 061113 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR HALL RANCH PA7...COUNTY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 508 AM MDT THU OCT 6 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WINDY CONDITIONS WILL BE DEVELOPING TODAY AS A STRONG SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER EASTERN WYOMING AND THE NEBRASKA PANHANDLE AND A POTENT UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES OVER THE REGION. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO HOLD OFF UNTIL MID TO LATE AFTERNOON WHEN THE BEST MIXING OCCURS. GUSTY WINDS WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1300...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....69. MIN HUMIDITY........27%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY THIS AFTERNOON. WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 18-28 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-16 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 5400-6400 FT AGL AFTER 0900. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2100...THEN MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....37. MAX HUMIDITY........49%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 27-37 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 28-36 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST AROUND 44 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4800 FT AGL UNTIL 0500...THEN 3000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 0400...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....54. MIN HUMIDITY........25%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 21-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 29-40 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-6600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 1200. CHANCE OF SNOW. RAIN LIKELY AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW UNTIL 0600... THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .COLUMBUS DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR HALL RANCH PA7. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/06-05 38 8 2 49 57 W13 20 3 1 S26 243 W13 2608 P 10/06-06 38 7 1 48 59 W13 20 3 1 S25 242 W13 2727 P 10/06-07 38 7 1 47 59 W12 16 3 1 S26 1748 W14 24022 P 10/06-08 38 7 1 51 50 W 9 14 2 1 S29 3254 SW15 45317 F 10/06-09 38 7 1 59 38 SW 8 8 2 1 S32 4761 S16 66612 G 10/06-10 39 7 1 62 33 SW 8 8 2 1 S35 5571 S16 77741 G 10/06-11 39 7 1 62 32 SW 9 9 2 1 S36 6381 S16 88870 G 10/06-12 43 27 7 64 31 SW12 17 2 2 S38 7191 S16 99999 G 10/06-13 53 27 7 65 29 SW14 21 2 2 S40 6881 S22 128449 V 10/06-14 62 27 7 66 28 SW17 26 3 2 S43 6571 SW28 156899 E 10/06-15 71 27 7 62 31 SW21 31 3 2 S44 6260 SW35 185349 E 10/06-16 71 27 7 59 33 W24 37 3 2 S43 5668 SW31 155526 E 10/06-17 71 27 7 55 34 W28 41 3 2 S40 5076 SW28 125704 V 10/06-18 66 3 1 53 35 W31 47 3 1 S38 4484 SW24 95882 G 10/06-19 57 3 1 52 36 W32 48 3 1 S37 4591 SW29 117298 V 10/06-20 48 3 1 51 36 W32 49 4 1 S36 4699 SW33 138714 V 10/06-21 38 3 1 50 36 W32 48 4 1 S37 4806 W38 160130 E 10/06-22 29 3 1 49 38 W31 46 4 1 S40 4816 SW40 168027 E 10/06-23 20 3 1 47 40 W29 44 3 1 SW45 4825 SW41 175923 E 10/07-00 15 0 0 46 42 W28 41 3 1 SW48 4834 SW44 183819 E 10/07-01 15 0 0 45 42 W26 40 3 1 SW52 4655 W44 175141 E 10/07-02 15 0 0 44 42 W25 39 3 1 SW54 4476 W43 166463 E 10/07-03 15 0 0 43 42 W25 38 3 1 SW55 4296 W43 157785 E 10/07-04 18 0 0 41 43 W24 37 3 1 SW54 3657 W43 135795 V 10/07-05 18 0 0 39 46 W24 36 4 1 SW53 3018 W44 113804 V 10/07-06 31 0 0 38 47 W24 37 4 1 SW48 2379 W45 91814 G 10/07-07 31 0 0 39 49 W25 39 4 1 SW40 3014 W43 108826 V 10/07-08 31 0 0 41 48 W28 40 4 1 SW32 3648 W40 125838 V 10/07-09 31 0 0 47 39 W28 41 4 1 SW26 4283 W38 142850 V 10/07-10 31 0 0 48 36 W26 40 4 1 SW23 4528 W31 116997 V 10/07-11 31 0 0 49 34 W25 38 3 1 SW22 4774 W23 91143 G 10/07-12 53 10 2 50 30 W24 37 3 1 SW22 5019 W15 65289 G 10/07-13 53 10 2 53 27 W24 36 3 1 SW23 5768 W14 67962 G 10/07-14 53 10 2 53 26 W23 35 3 1 SW25 6517 W13 70635 G 10/07-15 53 10 2 54 25 W23 35 3 1 SW29 7266 W12 73308 G 10/07-16 53 10 2 54 25 W23 35 3 1 SW29 6512 SW13 72015 G 10/07-17 53 10 2 53 26 W23 35 3 1 SW30 5759 SW15 70723 G 10/07-18 56 10 2 49 31 W22 33 3 1 SW31 5005 SW16 69430 G 10/07-19 56 10 2 45 37 W20 29 3 1 SW32 3677 SW17 51935 F 10/07-20 56 10 2 44 39 W16 24 2 1 SW35 2348 SW18 34440 P 10/07-21 56 10 2 43 41 W13 20 2 1 SW37 1020 SW20 16945 P 10/07-22 56 10 2 42 45 W10 15 2 1 SW41 875 SW16 13042 P 10/07-23 56 10 2 41 49 NW 8 8 2 1 SW46 730 SW14 9139 P 10/08-00 85 40 18 40 53 NW 6 6 2 1 SW48 585 SW10 5236 P 10/08-01 85 40 18 40 56 NW 5 5 2 1 S46 576 SW 8 4168 P 10/08-02 85 40 18 39 57 NW 3 3 2 1 S43 567 S 6 3101 P 10/08-03 85 40 18 39 59 NW 3 3 2 1 S40 558 S 5 2033 P 10/08-04 85 40 18 38 61 NW 3 3 2 1 S47 519 S 3 1704 P 10/08-05 85 40 18 37 65 NW 3 3 2 1 S55 479 W 3 1375 P 10/08-06 81 50 26 37 70 NW 3 3 2 1 S59 440 NW 2 1046 P 10/08-07 81 50 26 37 75 NW 3 3 2 1 S49 1635 W 3 6986 P 10/08-08 81 50 26 39 73 N 5 5 2 1 S36 2830 S 5 12926 P 10/08-09 81 50 26 44 66 N 5 5 2 1 S24 4025 SE 6 18866 P 10/08-10 81 50 26 46 65 N 5 5 2 1 S25 4399 E 8 30227 P 10/08-11 81 50 26 46 68 N 6 6 2 1 S30 4774 E 9 41587 F 10/08-12 87 60 38 47 68 NE 6 6 2 1 S36 5148 E12 52948 F 10/08-13 87 60 38 48 66 NE 6 6 2 1 SE36 5359 E14 67257 G 10/08-14 87 60 38 48 65 NE 6 6 2 1 SE36 5569 E16 81566 G 10/08-15 87 60 38 49 64 N 6 6 2 1 SE35 5780 E20 95875 G 10/08-16 87 60 38 49 62 N 6 6 2 1 SE32 5405 E18 84806 G 10/08-17 87 60 38 48 62 N 5 5 2 1 SE30 5030 E17 73737 G 10/08-18 67 42 19 45 68 N 5 5 2 1 SE28 4655 E15 62668 G 10/08-19 67 42 19 43 75 N 5 5 2 1 SE23 4176 E15 54710 F 10/08-20 67 42 19 42 78 N 3 3 2 1 SE20 3698 E15 46752 F 10/08-21 67 42 19 42 80 N 3 3 2 1 SE16 3219 E14 38794 P 10/08-22 67 42 19 41 83 N 3 3 2 1 SE15 3048 E10 29254 P 10/08-23 67 42 19 40 87 NW 2 2 2 1 SE15 2878 E 8 19715 P 10/09-00 65 30 9 40 88 NW 2 2 2 1 S15 2708 E 5 10175 P 10/09-01 65 30 9 39 89 NW 2 2 2 1 S14 2592 NE 5 9643 P 10/09-02 65 30 9 39 88 NW 2 2 2 1 S14 2476 N 5 9110 P 10/09-03 65 30 9 39 88 NW 2 2 2 1 S13 2360 NW 5 8577 P 10/09-04 65 30 9 39 87 NW 2 2 2 1 S12 2105 NW 5 8200 P 10/09-05 65 30 9 38 88 NW 2 2 2 1 SW 9 1850 NW 5 7822 P 10/09-06 59 19 4 38 89 NW 2 2 2 1 SW 7 1595 NW 6 7445 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...CHAD JULIAN REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111006.HALLR.01/BOU