FNUS75 KGJT 061524
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFFALO PASS ADMIN PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
924 AM MDT THU OCT 6 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MDT ON OCTOBER 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AT 0900 THE COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED NEAR THE UTAH/COLORADO BORDER.
THIS FRONT WILL BE WORKING ITS WAY EASTWARD DURING THE DAY PRODUCING
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION ALONG WITH FALLING SNOW LEVELS.
PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT BUT THE INTENSITY WILL
TAPER OFF AS MOISTURE BEGINS TO DECREASE AND THE ATMOSPHERE BECOMES
MORE STABLE. FRIDAY AN UNSTABLE MOIST NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL PRODUCE
SCATTERED SHOWERS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100%). SNOW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD...INCREASING TO EXCELLENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6300 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 27 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....18-23 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT...DECREASING TO GOOD AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000-8500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 4800 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....25-30 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO VERY GOOD BY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6600 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 36 MPH BECOMING WEST 25 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...ERICK STAHLIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111006.BUFFA.01/GJT