FNUS75 KRIW 061126
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR DRY QUAD RX...BRIDGER-TETON NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
526 AM MDT THU OCT 6 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON OCTOBER 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING SHOULD TRANSITION TO SNOW
IN THE AFTERNOON AS COLDER AIR WORKS INTO THE AREA. SNOW SHOWERS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...BEFORE TAPERING OFF
FRIDAY NIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE
LIGHT SIDE AS TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE 30S AND
THE GROUND REMAINS RELATIVELY WARM.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...MURRELL

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL RAIN
                    SHOWERS TRANSITIONING TO SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45...FALLING INTO THE UPPER 30S
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 70 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 4-8 MPH...BECOMING WEST SOUTHWEST
                    5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST BY AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.80 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST BY AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). PERIODS OF SNOW WITH
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-96 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.80 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (15400-30900 KNOT-FT).

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SNOW LIKELY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35-37.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5-10 MPH. GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.50 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (38400-54700 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 30. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.

.COLUMBUS DAY...CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS AROUND 50. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...MURRELL
REQUESTED BY...MARKASON
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111006.DRYQU.01/RIW