FNUS75 KCYS 071459
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR FERRIS MT...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
859 AM MDT FRI OCT 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0810 MDT ON OCTOBER 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM MDT THIS AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE
FIRE SITE TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY...IN TWO PARTS. THE FIRST PART IS
CURRENTLY MOVING OFF TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE REGION TODAY...BUT
WILL CONTINUE TO BRING BE STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS
THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
ON AND OFF TODAY AND TONIGHT AS WELL...WITH LIGHT TO NO
ACCUMULATIONS. THE SECOND PART OF THE STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO
WYOMING ON SATURDAY...BRINGING BREEZY NORTHEAST WINDS TO THE BURN
SITE ON SATURDAY AND SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS SATURDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE
DURING THIS TIME. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL EXIT THE REGION ON SUNDAY
WITH MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE WEEK. WINDS WILL
RETURN TO THE SOUTHWEST...AND BECOME BREEZY EACH AFTERNOON.
TUESDAY LOOKS TO SEE THE STRONGEST WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH
POSSIBLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 26 TO 29 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 45 MPH THROUGH 1400...DIMINISHING TO
                    14 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 35 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (31100-71400 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY EARLY ON. SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 17 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST 8 TO 11 MPH AFTER 2200...THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 4 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................45 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (13000-40100 KNOT-FT).

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SNOW LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MIN HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3 TO 5 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    10 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH BY 1100.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (14500-35500 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...MAZUR
REQUESTED BY...ZACH HARTSHORN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20111007.FERRI.01/CYS