FNUS73 KFGF 072028
FWSFGF

SPOT FORECAST FOR JUNEBERRY THREE...MN DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
328 PM CDT FRI OCT 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1510 CDT ON OCTOBER 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
CRITICAL CONCERN IS WIND SPEEDS. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS MOVING
OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS. HOWEVER...A LACK OF MOISTURE
ACCOMPANYING SAID SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN A LIMITED CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION. THE 20Z SURFACE MAP SHOWS A SURFACE BOUNDARY JUST
ALONG THE NORTH DAKOTA AND MINNESOTA BORDER. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
ARE SHOWING STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS NEAR 30 MPH IN THE SURROUNDING
AREA WITH GUSTS IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE. ANTICIPATE WINDS TO
START INCREASING IN SPEED...WITH HIGHER GUSTS THAN WHAT HAS BEEN
OBSERVED AT THE SITE...BY 5 PM. TONIGHT...A COLD FRONT WILL PASS
THROUGH EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA. AS SUCH
THE WINDS WILL SHIFT AND WILL BECOME MORE WESTERLY. OVERNIGHT...WINDS
WILL START DECREASING AND BY 3 AM WILL BE AROUND 15 MPH. SATURDAY
WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS IN THE UPPER 20 MPH
RANGE. MAX RH VALUES WILL RECOVER INTO THE 60 TO 70 PERCENT RANGE.
TOMORROW RH WILL DROP BETWEEN 40 AND 55 PERCENT. NEXT CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION IS THIS SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AS THE NEXT SYSTEM
APPROACHES.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 24 TO 29 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 45 MPH DECREASING TO 14 TO 19 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........31     43     57     65     67     66
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............73     66     63     60     59     57
RH..............32     39     44     55     62     69
20 FT WIND......S 26   S 24   S 22   SW 17  SW 17  SW 16
20 FT WIND GUST.45     40     35     25     25     25

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-5200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900-5400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 2400
                    FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 28 TO 36 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 14 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM      10 AM     1 PM      4 PM
SKY (%).........63        67        69        60
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............55        57        62        64
RH..............77        72        60        54
20 FT WIND......SW 14G20  W 15G20   W 12G20   W 11G15

$$
FORECASTER...ET
REQUESTED BY...DOUG MIEDTKE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20111007.JUNEB.01/FGF