FNUS75 KGJT 070304
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFFER CREEK...VAIL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
904 PM MDT THU OCT 6 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON OCTOBER 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
OVER THE REGION THROUGH SATURDAY. GUSTY WINDS TODAY WILL RESULT IN
A WELL MIXED ENVIRONMENT...BUT STRONG INVERSIONS WILL BE SETTING
UP EARLY TONIGHT AS WINDS DIMINISH. ANOTHER STORM APPROACHES ON
SATURDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF WIND AND SNOW SHOWERS.

.TODAY (FRIDAY)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
    25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (38300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD BY NOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL BY MIDDAY.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 MPH.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....22-27 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 6 MPH BY 2000.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000-37000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS
    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
    20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7600-29800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. EXCELLENT WHEN SNOW SHOWERS
    ARE OCCURRING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...T TALBOT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111007.BUFFE.01/GJT