FNUS75 KGJT 070230
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAGLESNEST...VAIL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
830 PM MDT THU OCT 6 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON OCTOBER 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE REGION
THROUGH SATURDAY. GUSTY WINDS TODAY WILL RESULT IN A WELL MIXED
ENVIRONMENT TODAY...BUT STRONG INVERSIONS WILL BE SETTING UP
EARLY TONIGHT AS WINDS DIMINISH. ANOTHER STORM APPROACHES ON
SATURDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF WIND AND SNOW SHOWERS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....26-30 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN INCREASING TO
                    5500 FT AGL BY 1100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 33 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 22 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-25 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........66-71%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    UNTIL 1900...THEN WINDS BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY UNTIL 0200. WINDS THEN
                    BECOMING EASTERLY 4-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR
                    20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR (LESS THAN 10000 KNOT-FT) BY 2000.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1100 FT AGL BY 2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....28-32 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 2-5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20
                    MPH INCREASING TO 6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    25 MPH BY 1300.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 10000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1000...
                    THEN INCREASING TO GOOD BY 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5900 FT AGL BY 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...T TALBOT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111007.EAGLE.01/GJT