FNUS75 KGJT 070303
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SNOWSHOE TANK...VAIL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
903 PM MDT THU OCT 6 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON OCTOBER 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE REGION
THROUGH SATURDAY. GUSTY WINDS TODAY WILL RESULT IN A WELL MIXED
ENVIRONMENT...BUT STRONG INVERSIONS WILL BE SETTING UP EARLY TONIGHT
AS WINDS DIMINISH. ANOTHER STORM APPROACHES ON SATURDAY...BRINGING
ANOTHER ROUND OF WIND AND SNOW SHOWERS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    WEST WINDS 5-10 MPH. OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO NEAR
                    25 MPH BETWEEN 1300 AND 1800.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 10000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    BECOMING GOOD BY 1300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....23-26 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH BY 1800.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR (LESS THAN 5000 KNOT-FT) BY 2000.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 2000.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90%). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    NORTHEAST WINDS 4-8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    DEVELOPING BY 1900.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 5000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    INCREASING TO GOOD BY 1300. EXCEPT EXCELLENT IN
                    AND NEAR SHOWERS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 11 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...T TALBOT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111007.SNOWS.01/GJT