FNUS73 KLSX 071233
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ICC...ST. CHARLES COUNTY PARKS AND RECREATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
733 AM CDT FRI OCT 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON OCTOBER 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BE A BIT STRONGER TODAY THAN THEY HAVE BEEN
THE PAST FEW DAYS...WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15 MPH AT TIMES.  OTHERWISE,
TODAY WILL BE ANOTHER MOSTLY SUNNY AND DRY DAY.  HIGH HUMIDITIES LEVELS
OF EARLY THIS MORNING WILL QUICKLY DROP...WITH HUMIDITIES LOWERING TO
AROUND 30 PERCENT BY MAX HEATING.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........68 AT IGNITION...MAX 82.
RH..................57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH WIND 4 MPH (UNSHELTERED,
                    ADJUSTMENT .4).
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTH AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHEAST WIND AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING INCREASING TO 8 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AT IGNITION...
                    3500 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 21 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (9819 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56.
RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH WIND 2-3 MPH (UNSHELTERED, ADJUSTMENT .4).
WIND...20 FT........SOUTH WIND 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 84.
RH..................MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH WIND 2-5 MPH (UNSHELTERED, ADJUSTMENT .4).
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHEAST WIND 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 18 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (8845 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...BYRD
REQUESTED BY...NATURAL RESOURCE SUPERVISOR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111007.ICC__.01/LSX