FNUS74 KLZK 071055 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR RORIE NORTH...U.S.FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 555 AM CDT FRI OCT 7 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0605 CDT ON OCTOBER 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...WILDFIRE DANGER REMAINS ELEVATED DUE TO VERY DRY CONDITIONS...SEE THE RANGE-LAND FIRE DANGER STATEMENT RFDLZK FOR FURTHER DETAILS... .DISCUSSION... ELEVATED WILDFIRE DANGER PERSISTS ACROSS THE STATE AS CONTINUING DRY CONDITIONS AND DROUGHT HAVE KEPT FINE FUEL MOISTURE VERY LOW. MIN RH VALUES WILL DROP DOWN INTO THE 30 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED 20 FT WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA...BUT GUSTS OF 15 MPH TO OVER 20 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. THE MOISTURE LEVELS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK...BUT PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL REMAIN LIMITED UNTIL EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP FINE FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS LOW INTO THE WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........63 AT IGNITION...MAX 82. RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 16 TO 22 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 5300 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............63 64 65 69 72 76 78 80 81 81 81 79 RH..............70 68 65 63 55 48 43 40 39 37 39 43 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 9 8 7 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 15 20 20 20 20 15 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S SE SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 4 EYE LVL WND GST.3 5 5 5 8 10 10 10 10 8 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.16 18 21 22 22 22 21 20 20 20 20 20 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56. RH..................MAX 75 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 14 TO 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A STABILITY CLASS.....6. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............77 73 69 67 65 64 63 62 62 61 60 59 RH..............43 49 55 58 62 64 66 68 69 71 72 73 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 EYE LVL WND GST.5 3 3 3 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 18 16 15 14 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 82. RH..................MIN 42 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 14 TO 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 5700 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............59 58 60 64 68 72 75 78 79 80 81 79 RH..............74 75 71 63 56 50 46 43 42 42 42 45 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 16 18 20 18 18 17 17 17 18 18 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...62 REQUESTED BY...BRIAN SULLIVAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111007.RORIE.01/LZK