FNUS75 KCYS 081244
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH FORK BURN PILE...CENTENNIAL VALLEY VFD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
644 AM MDT SAT OCT 8 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MDT ON OCTOBER 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...
A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEAST FROM THE FOUR CORNERS
AREA TO THE NORTHERN PLAINS SUNDAY NIGHT. THE STORM WILL PRODUCE
COOL TEMPERATURES AND ACCUMULATING SNOW THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT. AT
THIS TIME...4 TO 8 INCHES OF NEW SNOW ARE EXCPECTED OVER THE BURN
SITE MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT. PERIODS OF SNOW
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE FOR SUNDAY.  WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXPECTED FOR NEXT WEEK...WITH STRONG WINDS LIKELY TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SNOW LIKELY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN OCCASIONAL SNOW IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 20
                    MPH.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST  AROUND 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (12300-29100 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL SNOW IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 22.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING WITH
                    GUSTS TO 20 MPH...THEN 4 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO FAIR (15500-29100 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...WEILAND
REQUESTED BY...ERIC GREGORY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111008.NORTH.02/CYS