FNUS75 KGJT 091706
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR COCHETOPA AERIAL SPRAY...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1106 AM MDT SUN OCT 9 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1021 MDT ON OCTOBER 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE TAIL END OF AN UPPER TROUGH WAS OVER THE SPRAY
AREA THIS MORNING BUT IS MOVING AWAY TO THE NORTHEAST. SURFACE
WINDS WILL BE TERRAIN-DRIVEN. RESIDUAL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
WILL KEEP SOME CLOUDS OVER THE PEAKS THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH
PRESSURE MOVING IN TONIGHT AND MONDAY. EXPECT MODERATE TO STRONG
INVERSIONS TONIGHT. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL PRODUCE A LITTLE
STRONGER WINDS ALOFT ON MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    (40-50%) BY 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 2-4 MPH BY 1200.
                    OVER RIDGETOPS...SOUTHWEST 5 MPH BECOMING WEST.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 7500 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 MPH BY 1500.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....18-23 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNAVLLEY 3-5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL AT 1800 DECREASING TO 400 FT OR LESS
                    BY LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH AT 1800 BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    3-5 MPH BY 2100.

.COLUMBUS DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 1-3 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3-5 MPH BY 1200. OVER
                    RIDGETOPS...WEST 5-7 MPH AFTER 1200 INCREASING
                    TO 10-15 MPH BY 1600.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 1-3 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING WEST 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...DARREN LONG
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20111009.COCHE.01/GJT