FNUS74 KLZK 091913 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR BLAKELY...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 213 PM CDT SUN OCT 9 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1400 CDT ON OCTOBER 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ELEVATED WILDFIRE DANGER PERSISTS ACROSS THE STATE AS DRY CONDITIONS AND DROUGHT HAVE KEPT FINE FUEL MOISTURE LOW. MIN RH VALUES WILL DROP DOWN INTO THE 30 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON IN MOST AREAS...WITH VALUES CLOSER TO 45 PERCENT IN THE NORTHWEST. SUSTAINED 20 FT WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA...BUT GUSTS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL BE COMMON THIS AFTERNOON. MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE INTO THE MIDDLE OF THIS WEEK... WITH AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST STARTING MONDAY. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY...OR UNTIL A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH FROM THE PLAINS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONT...WITH DRY CONDITIONS RETURNING LATER THIS WEEK. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........80 AT REQUEST...MAX 82. RH..................47 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 44 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 22 TO 23 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 6500 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....5. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 8 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE EAST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............80 81 82 80 RH..............47 45 44 46 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE E E 20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 15 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE E E EYE LVL WND SPD.6 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 8 8 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.22 22 22 23 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 61. RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 17 TO 24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3100 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............79 77 75 73 72 70 68 66 66 65 64 63 RH..............49 51 54 57 61 64 68 72 73 74 75 78 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 6 6 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 EYE LVL WND GST.8 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.24 24 24 23 23 23 23 22 22 21 18 17 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .COLUMBUS DAY... 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79. RH..................MIN 55 PERCENT. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............63 63 63 66 68 71 73 75 76 76 76 75 RH..............78 79 79 73 68 63 59 57 56 55 56 59 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E SE SE SE E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.15 14 12 10 8 8 8 9 8 8 8 9 $$ FORECASTER...J LEWIS REQUESTED BY...LEXIE RUE-HARRIS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20111009.BLAKE.01/LZK