FNUS73 KFGF 111048 FWSFGF SPOT FORECAST FOR JUNEBERRY THREE COMPLEX...MN DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND 548 AM CDT TUE OCT 11 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1911 CDT ON OCTOBER 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... EXPECT A WARM AND DRY TUESDAY. SUNNY SKIES THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON WILL GIVE WAY TO INCREASING CLOUD COVER DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON WHEN LOW PRESSURE BEGINS TO APPROACH THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE MINIMUM RH SHOULD FALL TO AROUND 40 PERCENT. LOOK FOR SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND OR UNDER 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSION WILL IMPROVE TO BECOME GOOD FOR A FEW HOURS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON DUE TO THE STEADY LIGHT WINDS AND INCREASING MIXING HEIGHTS...BUT QUICKLY BECOME POOR AGAIN THIS EVENING. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT WHEN THE LOW PRESSURE MAKES ITS WAY INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE WILDFIRE AREA WILL PROBABLY ONLY GET 0.05 INCHES OF RAIN OR LESS. THE SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL WEAKEN TO AROUND 5 MPH BY MIDNIGHT. WEDNESDAY LOOKS A BIT COOLER AND CLOUDIER. LIGHT WESTERLY AND THEN NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF THE PASSING LOW PRESSURE. RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE...BUT THE WILDFIRE AREA WILL BE ON THE EDGE OF WHERE THAT RAIN WILL LIKELY FALL. SO...WILL NEED TO REEVALUATE WHETHER THE AREA GETS UP TO 0.25 INCHES OF RAIN OR A MERE 0.02 INCHES OF RAIN DEPENDING ON HOW THE MODELS SLIGHTLY SHIFT THE PROJECTED RAIN BAND. THE FORECAST MENTIONS THE POSSIBILITY OF THUNDER...BUT IT IS A VERY MINIMAL THREAT. ANY LIGHTNING ACROSS NORTHWEST MINNESOTA SHOULD BE VERY FEW AND FAR BETWEEN. HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN SOMEWHAT ELEVATED DUE TO THE CLOUD COVER AND SHOWERS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73. MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-5000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4500-6300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2600 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 36 38 41 44 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TSTM COV........ TEMP............49 48 50 54 58 62 65 67 69 70 70 69 RH..............94 91 86 83 76 61 54 51 44 41 43 46 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 6 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53. MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........47 54 62 68 72 75 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........ TEMP............66 61 58 55 54 53 RH..............48 57 62 66 70 75 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 SE 5 SE 5 S 4 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67. MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST UP TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........76 76 73 67 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........ ISOLTD ISOLTD TEMP............51 54 61 64 RH..............85 80 70 63 20 FT WIND......S 3G5 SW 3G5 SW 4G5 W 4G5 $$ FORECASTER...GROCHOCINSKI REQUESTED BY...DOUG MIEDTKE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20111010.JUNEB.02/FGF