FNUS73 KAPX 112018
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SUNRISE   6...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
418 PM EDT TUE OCT 11 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON OCTOBER 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST AND LOW PRESSURE TO THE
WEST WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN AN OVERALL SOUTHERLY WIND WITH
SUSTAINED SPEEDS BELOW 10 MPH. HOWEVER...JUST EAST OF THE BURN
NEAR MIO WINDS HAVE SHIFTED OUT OF THE NORTH. ALSO...WINDS HAVE
GUSTED A BIT HIGHER THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED REACHING 20 MPH
AT TIMES. TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN INTO THE UPPER 70S TO AROUND
80 DEGREES WHILE HUMIDITIES HAVE FALLEN TO 26 TO 30 PERCENT.
THIS HAS RESULTED IN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER...WHICH IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

WIND SPEEDS AND TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BACK BY 6PM TO 7PM WHILE
HUMIDITIES BEGIN TO RISE. BY 8PM...FIRE DANGER WILL BE
CONSIDERABLY LESS.


SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79.
RH..................MIN 25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(1300).

TIME (EDT)      5PM
SKY (%).........21
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............78
RH..............30
20 FT WIND DIR..SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6
20 FT WIND GUST.10
HAINES INDEX....5
SMOKE DISP......1300

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........19  16  15  15  15  5   5   5   8   8   8   16
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............74  69  63  60  58  56  55  54  53  52  51  51
RH..............35  43  54  61  67  74  77  80  83  86  86  86
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..4   3   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1
20 FT WIND GUST.10  5       5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...
RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...SCOTT DICKSON
REQUESTED BY...JOHN ELLIOTT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111011.SUNRI.01/APX