FNUS76 KMFR 120112
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLY RIDGE WUI...USFS BLY RANGER DISTRICT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
612 PM PDT TUE OCT 11 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1725 PDT ON OCTOBER 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...BEHIND A FRONT....BREEZY AND GUSTY WINDS
WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING WITH STRONGEST WINDS
OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND AREAS OF EAST OF THE CASCADES.
THEN...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY BRINGING A DRYING AND WARMING TREND. AS THE
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE STRENGTHENS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY
EXPECT A STRONGER INVERSION TO DEVELOP AND BRING MODERATE
RECOVERIES TO THE RIDGES. FRIDAY...A TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP OFF THE COAST...DEVELOPING INTO AN UPPER LOW THAT
WILL SINK SOUTH AND PERSIST OFF THE COAST OF A  CALIFORNIA
ON THE WEEKEND. THIS LOW MAY MOVE INLAND LATE MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY BRINGING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 8 MPH
                    IN THE EVENING BECOMING DOWNSLOPE WIND TO
                    2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 16 TO 26 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE WIND TO 2 MPH BECOMING WEST WIND
                    3 TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-3400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 8 TO 13 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...NELAIMISCHKIES
REQUESTED BY...JOSE CASTILLO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111011.BLYRI.01/MFR