FNUS76 KMFR 111302
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAPPY CAMP ROADSIDE PILES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
602 AM PDT TUE OCT 11 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 PDT ON OCTOBER 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A RIDGE WILL SLOWLY BUILD INTO THE BURN AREA TODAY.
THIS WILL BRING A WARMING AND DRYING CONDITION TO THE AREA. COOLER
AIR ALOFT WILL PROVIDE FOR GOOD MIXING TODAY. HOWEVER A
STRENGTHENING INVERSION TONIGHT WILL LEAD TO A WARM LAYER ALOFT
AND THIS WILL LIMIT MIXING ON WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL BE MAINLY
SLOPE DRIVEN BOTH DAYS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY EARLY MORNING...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 65-67.
RH..................57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34-38 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE WINDS 2 TO 3 MPH.
20 FT WINDS.........WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 MPH...TURNING TO
                    WEST-NORTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH AROUND SUNSET.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. STEEP INVERSION EXPECTED UP TO
                    8000 FT MSL.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41.
RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 2 TO 3 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT DOWNSLOPE WIND.
20 FT WINDS.........NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 8 MPH IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 72-74.
RH..................MIN 30-34 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE WIND 2 TO 4 MPH.
20 FT WINDS.........NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$

FORECASTER...BUNNAG
REQUESTED BY...TERRY WALTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111011.HAPPY.01/MFR