FNUS76 KMFR 110544
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAVABEDS...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1044 PM PDT MON OCT 10 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON OCTOBER 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY MOVE INTO THE BURN AREA
TODAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO GRADUAL WARMING AND DRYING. HOWEVER
STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL LEAD TO GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE LAVA
BEDS AREA BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DECREASE WEDNESDAY
BUT AFTERNOON HUMIDITY WILL ALSO FALL POSSIBLY INTO THE LOWER 20S.
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE END OF THE WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
RH..................84 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32-35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 8 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    OCCASIONAL GUST TO 15 MPH AFTER 1400.
20 FT WINDS.........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-NORTHWEST 20 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 72.
RH..................MIN 21-23 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WIND 3 TO 5 MPH. GUSTS TO 9 MPH.
20 FT WINDS.........NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTS TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST-WEST 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BUNNAG
REQUESTED BY...JOHN DONAHUE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111011.LAVAB.01/MFR