FNUS76 KMFR 111227
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR UPTEN  OAK KNOLL PILES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
527 AM PDT TUE OCT 11 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON OCTOBER 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A RIDGE WILL SLOWLY BUILD INTO THE BURN AREA THIS
WEEK. WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER...THE
AIR MASS WILL TURN DRIER EACH DAY. WINDS WILL BE MAINLY SLOPE AND
VALLEY DRIVEN. A WARM AND STABLE LAYER ALOFT WILL DEVELOP AND THIS
WILL LIMIT MIXING ON WEDNESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........47 AT IGNITION...MAX 57-60.
RH..................63 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 55-58 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT UPSLOPE WIND BECOMING SOUTHWEST 2 TO 3 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
20 FT WINDS.........SOUTHWEST 4 TO 6 MPH...SHIFTING TO
                    NORTHWEST 4 TO 6 MPH TOWARD EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 17 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 39-42.
RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT...EXCEPT 75 PERCENT AT THE TOP.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE WINDS 0 TO 2 MPH.
20 FT WINDS.........NORTHWEST 8 MPH IN THE EVENING...THEN VEERING TO
                    NORTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING...THEN LOWERING TO
                    500 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 12 MPH IN THE EVENING...THEN NORTHEAST 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 58-61.
RH..................MIN 36-40 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE WIND 2 TO 3 MPH.
20 FT WINDS.........NORTH-NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BUNNAG
REQUESTED BY...TOM FIELDEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111011.UPTEN.01/MFR