FNUS73 KDMX 121832 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR CAMP DODGE TRAINING...TNC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 132 PM CDT WED OCT 12 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 CDT ON OCTOBER 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. PLEASE REMEMBER TO SUBMIT A MID BURN OBSERVATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. .DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WITH BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE REGION. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 3 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 8 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (48900 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. TIME (CDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........92 93 91 88 WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO TEMP............68 68 67 65 RH..............70 70 70 70 20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW W 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.5 5.4 4.7 4.0 MIXNG WIND DIR..W NW N N MIXNG WIND SPD..8 10 12 12 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MARGINAL (29400 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........86 75 62 52 44 33 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........ TEMP............65 61 57 55 54 52 RH..............68 72 80 83 83 86 20 FT WIND......W 9 W 8 W 9 NW 10 NW 10 NW 12 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....3300 2000 1000 300 300 300 MIXNG WIND......N 10 N 6 NW 5 W 6 NW 9 NW 12 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 4 4 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 29 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (14000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (89400 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (151400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (147100 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 22 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........35 22 17 16 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV........ TEMP............52 59 67 69 RH..............83 62 43 40 20 FT WIND......NW 14G20 NW 17G25 NW 22G30 NW 21G25 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1400 5400 6400 MIXNG WIND......NW 13 NW 18 NW 28 NW 26 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...VACHALEK REQUESTED BY...DOUG CHAFA TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111012.CAMPD.01/DMX