FNUS74 KEPZ 121631
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR ADMIN SITE PILE BURN...LNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1031 AM MDT WED OCT 12 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1020 MDT ON OCTOBER 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LIGHT NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PREVAIL TODAY...WITH A GENERALLY WEAK
GRADIENT IN PLACE WIND DIRECTION MAY BECOME SHIFTY IN THE AFTERNOON
AND VEER MORE NORTHERLY.  FAIRLY STRONG INVERSION IN PLACE WILL
LIMIT AFTERNOON MIXING TO ABOUT 5500 FEET AGL.  THIS COMBINED WITH
THE LIGHT LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL RESULT IN VENT RATES JUST IN THE
FAIR CATEGORY.

EXPECT JUST SLIGHTLY STRONGER WEST WINDS TOMORROW WITH WEAK LEE
TROUGH DEVELOPING.  OTHERWISE TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY CLIMB
THROUGH THE WEEK AS A STRONG RIDGE OFF CALIFORNIA BUILDS EASTWARD.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 71.
RH..................42 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH...MAY VEER MORE NORTHERLY
                    LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    5500 FEET AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........55,000 KNOT-FEET (FAIR)


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40.
RH..................MAX 46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73.
RH..................MIN 18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING WEST 6
                    TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO AROUND 6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 4 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10
                    TO 11 KNOTS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION.........66,000 KNOT-FEET (GOOD)

$$

FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...NM ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111012.ADMIN.01/EPZ