FNUS76 KMFR 121327
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR CRESCENT BUTTE...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
627 AM PDT WED OCT 12 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON OCTOBER 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE BUILD OVER THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY
WITH WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER. VENTILATION WILL NOT BE VERY GOOD
TODAY WITH A STRONG MORNING INVERSION BREAKING AFTER 12AM...LOWER
AFTERNOON MIXING HEIGHTS THAN YESTERDAY...AND CONSIDERABLE HIGH
CLOUDS POSSIBLE AT TIMES. LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED. WINDS
AND MIXING HEIGHTS INCREASE THURSDAY HOWEVER.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY...HIGH CLOUDS BECOMING THICKER
                    AT TIMES IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WIND BECOMING UPSLOPE 2-4 MPH...THEN
                    TRENDING NORTHWEST 3-7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 2-5 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-44.
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WIND 3-6 MPH BECOMING LIGHT DOWNSLOPE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO ZERO.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 10 MPH EASING TO WEST 2-5 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WIND BECOMING UPSLOPE 1-3 MPH THROUGH THE
                    MORNING. AFTERNOON WIND TRENDING WEST 3-5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT IN THE MORNING BECOMING WEST 10 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$

FORECASTER...STAVISH
REQUESTED BY...JOHN DONAHUE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111012.CRESC.01/MFR