FNUS76 KMFR 121530
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR CRESCENT BUTTE...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
821 AM PDT WED OCT 12 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON OCTOBER 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY
WITH WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER. VENTILATION WILL NOT BE VERY GOOD
TODAY WITH A MORNING INVERSION BREAKING AFTER 10AM...LOWER
AFTERNOON MIXING HEIGHTS THAN YESTERDAY...AND CONSIDERABLE HIGH
CLOUDS POSSIBLE AT TIMES. LIGHT WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW IS EXPECTED.
WINDS AND MIXING HEIGHTS INCREASE THURSDAY HOWEVER.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY...HIGH CLOUDS BECOMING THICKER
                    AT TIMES IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WIND 0-2 EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE 1-3 MPH...THEN
                    TRENDING NORTHWEST 2-4 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 2-5 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-44.
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WIND 2-4 MPH BECOMING LIGHT
                    DOWNSLOPE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO ZERO.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH EASING TO WEST 2-5 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WIND BECOMING UPSLOPE 1-3 MPH THROUGH THE
                    MORNING. AFTERNOON WIND TRENDING NORTHWEST 3-5
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 2 TO 5 MPH BECOMING WEST 6 TO 12 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...JOHN DONAHUE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111012.CRESC.01/MFR