FNUS75 KBOU 131046 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR INDIAN CREEK RX...NATURE CONSERVANCY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 500 AM MDT THU OCT 13 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A MILD AND DRY DAY IS EXPECTED TODAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE WEST. NORTHWEST WINDS ALOFT WILL MIX DOWN OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND NEAR THE WYOMING BORDER...WITH THE BURN AREA ON THE EDGE OF THE PREVAILING NORTHWEST WINDS. AS A RESULT...WIND DIRECTION MAY BE SOMEWHAT ERRATIC...WITH PERIODS OF LIGHT VARIABLE WINDS. THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHIFTING TO SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON...BUT IT IS MORE LIKELY THAT WINDS WILL REMAIN NORTHWEST. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). AREAS OF FROST UNTIL 0800. MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-75. MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH TO NORTHEAST 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 5-12 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN NORTHWEST 9-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5-16 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHWEST 24-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. RISING TO 7000 FT AGL BY 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-44. MAX HUMIDITY........55-65%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13-24 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST AROUND 8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-72. MIN HUMIDITY........22-26%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 3-6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN EAST 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST 6-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN WEST 8-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 6000-7000 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR INDIANCREEK RX. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/13-04 15 0 0 35 61 CALM 1 4 1 NW29 115 W 2 248 P 10/13-05 21 0 0 35 57 W 2 2 4 1 NW30 121 SW 2 297 P 10/13-06 24 0 0 36 54 SW 2 2 4 1 NW30 127 SW 3 347 P 10/13-07 24 0 0 37 53 SW 2 2 4 1 NW29 145 SW 3 450 P 10/13-08 24 0 0 38 53 SW 3 3 3 1 NW28 163 SW 3 554 P 10/13-09 24 0 0 41 50 S 3 3 3 1 NW26 180 SW 5 657 P 10/13-10 24 0 0 47 41 S 3 3 3 1 NW25 2087 SW10 41295 F 10/13-11 24 0 0 55 31 S 3 3 3 1 NW23 3993 W17 81933 G 10/13-12 35 0 0 68 20 S 5 5 3 1 NW23 5900 W24 122571 V 10/13-13 35 0 0 71 18 SW 7 7 3 1 NW25 6639 W25 145067 V 10/13-14 35 0 0 73 17 W 9 9 3 1 NW29 7378 NW26 167564 E 10/13-15 35 0 0 73 17 NW12 16 3 1 NW30 8117 NW26 190060 E 10/13-16 35 0 0 73 18 NW10 10 3 1 NW30 7140 NW26 165235 E 10/13-17 35 0 0 71 20 NW 9 9 2 1 NW28 6164 NW26 140409 V 10/13-18 33 0 0 66 24 NW 8 8 2 1 NW25 5187 NW25 115584 V 10/13-19 33 0 0 59 32 NW 9 9 2 1 NW23 3537 NW22 77933 G 10/13-20 33 0 0 54 39 NW 9 9 3 1 NW21 1886 W17 40282 F 10/13-21 33 0 0 52 42 W10 10 3 1 W20 235 W13 2631 P 10/13-22 33 0 0 51 45 W 9 9 3 1 W20 213 W12 2187 P 10/13-23 33 0 0 49 48 W 8 8 3 1 W20 191 W10 1743 P 10/14-00 33 0 0 48 48 W 7 7 3 1 W21 169 W 9 1300 P 10/14-01 33 0 0 47 51 W 7 7 3 1 W20 170 W 8 1258 P 10/14-02 33 0 0 47 50 NW 7 7 3 1 NW18 172 W 8 1217 P 10/14-03 33 0 0 46 52 NW 8 8 3 1 NW18 173 W 8 1175 P 10/14-04 33 0 0 45 54 NW 9 9 3 1 NW20 165 W 9 1242 P 10/14-05 33 0 0 44 56 W10 10 2 1 NW21 157 W 9 1309 P 10/14-06 14 0 0 44 57 W10 10 2 1 NW24 149 W10 1376 P 10/14-07 14 0 0 42 60 NW 8 8 2 1 NW26 842 W12 9140 P 10/14-08 14 0 0 44 56 N 6 6 2 1 NW30 1535 W12 16904 P 10/14-09 14 0 0 56 36 N 5 5 2 1 NW33 2228 W13 24668 P 10/14-10 14 0 0 62 30 NE 3 3 2 1 NW39 3559 W16 60573 G 10/14-11 14 0 0 65 27 SE 3 3 2 1 NW44 4890 W21 96479 G 10/14-12 14 0 0 67 26 S 3 3 2 1 NW46 6220 W24 132384 V 10/14-13 14 0 0 68 25 S 3 3 2 1 NW45 6730 W24 141488 V 10/14-14 14 0 0 69 25 W 5 5 3 1 NW41 7241 W24 150593 E 10/14-15 14 0 0 70 24 W 5 5 3 1 NW38 7751 W24 159697 E 10/14-16 14 0 0 69 25 W 5 5 3 1 NW39 6708 W23 133999 V 10/14-17 14 0 0 68 26 W 5 5 3 1 NW40 5665 W22 108301 V 10/14-18 2 0 0 65 28 W 5 5 3 1 NW41 4622 W21 82604 G 10/14-19 2 0 0 61 32 W 6 6 3 1 NW43 3182 W16 55840 F 10/14-20 2 0 0 58 36 W 7 7 3 1 NW41 1741 W13 29077 P 10/14-21 2 0 0 56 38 W 8 8 3 1 NW41 300 W 9 2314 P 10/14-22 2 0 0 54 40 W 9 9 3 1 NW40 265 W10 2292 P 10/14-23 2 0 0 53 41 W10 10 3 1 NW40 231 W12 2270 P 10/15-00 2 0 0 52 42 W12 18 3 1 NW40 196 W13 2248 P 10/15-01 2 0 0 51 43 W13 20 4 1 NW43 185 W14 2244 P 10/15-02 2 0 0 50 43 W14 21 4 1 NW46 173 W15 2240 P 10/15-03 2 0 0 49 43 W14 22 5 1 NW48 162 W16 2237 P 10/15-04 2 0 0 48 44 W14 23 5 1 NW48 163 W15 2190 P 10/15-05 2 0 0 48 46 W14 23 5 1 NW49 165 W15 2143 P 10/15-06 25 0 0 47 47 W14 22 5 1 NW49 166 W15 2096 P 10/15-07 25 0 0 48 46 W13 21 5 1 NW53 574 W18 11959 P 10/15-08 25 0 0 55 37 W12 20 4 1 NW58 982 W22 21822 P 10/15-09 25 0 0 62 28 W12 18 4 1 NW61 1389 W26 31685 P 10/15-10 25 0 0 69 23 W12 20 4 1 NW66 3569 W31 117404 V 10/15-11 25 0 0 73 20 W13 21 4 1 W68 5748 W37 203123 E 10/15-12 25 0 0 75 19 W15 24 4 1 W70 7927 W41 288843 E 10/15-13 25 0 0 76 18 W17 28 4 1 W70 8626 W43 321363 E 10/15-14 25 0 0 77 17 W20 32 4 1 W70 9325 W44 353884 E 10/15-15 25 0 0 78 17 W22 35 4 1 W69 10024 W45 386404 E 10/15-16 25 0 0 77 17 W23 36 3 1 W69 8559 W44 327214 E 10/15-17 25 0 0 75 18 W22 36 3 1 W69 7095 W44 268024 E 10/15-18 27 0 0 72 20 W21 33 2 1 W68 5631 W43 208834 E 10/15-19 27 0 0 65 25 NW18 30 2 1 W67 3833 W33 140149 V 10/15-20 27 0 0 61 29 NW16 25 2 1 W63 2035 NW23 71464 G 10/15-21 27 0 0 58 32 N13 21 2 1 W60 237 NW14 2778 P 10/15-22 27 0 0 56 34 N 9 9 2 1 W58 938 NW12 6707 P 10/15-23 27 0 0 54 36 NE 7 7 3 1 W54 1639 NW 9 10636 P 10/16-00 27 0 0 52 39 NE 5 5 3 1 W53 2339 NW 7 14565 P 10/16-01 27 0 0 51 41 E 3 3 3 1 W51 2490 W 7 16073 P 10/16-02 27 0 0 49 44 S 2 2 2 1 W51 2641 W 8 17582 P 10/16-03 27 0 0 48 47 S 2 2 2 1 W51 2792 SW 8 19090 P 10/16-04 27 0 0 47 50 S 2 2 2 1 W51 2757 W 7 17007 P 10/16-05 27 0 0 47 52 E 2 2 2 1 W51 2722 W 6 14924 P 10/16-06 31 0 0 46 55 NE 2 2 2 1 W52 2686 W 6 12841 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...BRIAN FAITH REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111013.INDIA.01/BOU