FNUS75 KBOU 122119 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR LOWER NORTH FORK...CSFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 308 PM MDT WED OCT 12 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...MODERATE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE AS AN UPPER RIDGE SLOWLY BUILDS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM THURSDAY FROM TODAY'S READINGS...INTO THE UPPER 60S WHICH WILL CAUSE HUMIDITY TO BE SLIGHTLY DRIER AS WELL FOR THURSDAY. WINDS WILL LIKELY REMAIN OUT OF THE WESTERLY DIRECTION THROUGH TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW AS SOME STABILITY PUSHES SOME OF THE STRONGER FLOW ALOFT DOWN TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW. SMOKE DISPERSION WILL BE ALLOWED TO RISE INTO THE VERY GOOD CATEGORY WITH HELP FROM THE WARMER TEMPERATURES AND TRANSPORT WINDS. IT WILL REMAIN WARMER AND DRIER THAN NORMAL THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE A COLD FRONT MOVES DOWN SATURDAY NIGHT TO BRING CLOSER TO NORMAL TEMPERATURES SUNDAY AND MONDAY. IT WILL REMAIN DRY THOUGH THE WEEKEND. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....33. MAX HUMIDITY........59%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68. MIN HUMIDITY........24%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6-11 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHWEST 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 6400-7400 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. VERY GOOD AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....44. MAX HUMIDITY........55%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN SOUTHWEST 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....71. MIN HUMIDITY........23%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN AROUND 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 1800-2800 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 7200-8200 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 5400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR LOWER NORTH FORK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/12-15 9 0 0 65 20 NW14 22 2 1 NW33 7918 NW18 127072 V 10/12-16 9 0 0 64 21 NW12 18 2 1 NW33 6921 NW17 104378 V 10/12-17 9 0 0 63 22 NW 8 14 3 1 NW35 5924 NW15 81684 G 10/12-18 7 0 0 60 26 NW 6 6 3 1 NW36 4927 NW14 58990 F 10/12-19 7 0 0 54 34 NW 5 5 3 1 NW36 3393 NW12 39964 P 10/12-20 7 0 0 49 45 W 5 5 3 1 NW37 1859 W 9 20939 P 10/12-21 7 0 0 47 52 W 6 6 3 1 NW38 326 W 7 1913 P 10/12-22 7 0 0 44 55 SW 7 7 3 1 NW40 280 W 7 1664 P 10/12-23 7 0 0 43 54 SW 7 7 3 1 NW43 234 W 7 1415 P 10/13-00 7 0 0 41 53 SW 8 13 3 1 NW45 188 W 7 1165 P 10/13-01 7 0 0 40 54 SW 8 13 3 1 NW46 174 W 7 1092 P 10/13-02 7 0 0 38 54 SW 8 13 3 1 NW48 160 W 7 1019 P 10/13-03 7 0 0 37 55 W 8 13 3 1 NW48 146 W 7 946 P 10/13-04 7 0 0 36 56 W 9 14 3 1 NW47 137 W 8 970 P 10/13-05 7 0 0 36 57 W10 16 3 1 NW44 128 W 9 994 P 10/13-06 18 0 0 35 59 W10 16 3 1 NW40 119 W10 1018 P 10/13-07 18 0 0 37 56 W 9 15 3 1 NW36 381 W10 3254 P 10/13-08 18 0 0 42 46 W 8 13 3 1 NW31 644 W10 5490 P 10/13-09 18 0 0 51 35 W 7 7 3 1 NW28 906 W10 7726 P 10/13-10 18 0 0 58 28 W 6 6 3 1 NW26 2551 NW13 33467 P 10/13-11 18 0 0 61 26 NW 6 6 2 1 NW28 4196 NW15 59208 F 10/13-12 25 0 0 64 24 N 6 6 2 1 NW28 5840 NW17 84949 G 10/13-13 25 0 0 65 24 NW 7 7 2 1 NW26 6579 NW17 97759 G 10/13-14 25 0 0 66 24 NW 8 14 2 1 W23 7318 NW17 110568 V 10/13-15 25 0 0 67 24 NW 9 15 2 1 W22 8056 NW17 123378 V 10/13-16 25 0 0 66 25 NW 8 8 2 1 W22 7321 NW17 112159 V 10/13-17 25 0 0 65 27 N 5 5 2 1 NW24 6587 NW17 100940 V 10/13-18 8 0 0 63 32 N 3 3 2 1 NW26 2678 NW12 27259 P 10/13-19 8 0 0 59 36 NW 3 3 2 1 NW29 1953 W10 19351 P 10/13-20 8 0 0 56 37 W 5 5 2 1 NW32 1229 W 9 11442 P 10/13-21 8 0 0 54 39 SW 7 7 2 1 NW33 505 W 8 3534 P 10/13-22 8 0 0 54 40 SW 7 7 2 1 NW33 444 W 8 3241 P 10/13-23 8 0 0 53 41 SW 8 8 2 1 NW32 384 W 9 2948 P 10/14-00 8 0 0 51 43 SW 8 8 2 1 NW32 323 W 9 2655 P 10/14-01 8 0 0 50 44 SW 8 8 2 1 NW35 283 W 9 2363 P 10/14-02 8 0 0 49 45 W 9 9 2 1 NW38 243 W10 2071 P 10/14-03 8 0 0 48 47 W 9 9 2 1 NW39 203 W10 1780 P 10/14-04 8 0 0 46 50 W 9 9 2 1 NW37 188 W10 1611 P 10/14-05 8 0 0 46 50 W 8 8 2 1 NW33 173 W 9 1443 P 10/14-06 11 0 0 45 53 W 7 7 2 1 NW31 157 W 9 1274 P 10/14-07 11 0 0 44 55 SW 6 6 2 1 NW30 496 W 9 4029 P 10/14-08 11 0 0 49 47 SW 6 6 2 1 NW30 834 W 9 6784 P 10/14-09 11 0 0 56 37 SW 5 5 2 1 NW31 1172 W 9 9538 P 10/14-10 11 0 0 61 31 SW 3 3 2 1 NW35 3397 W13 49129 F 10/14-11 11 0 0 65 27 SW 2 2 2 1 NW37 5622 W16 88719 G 10/14-12 11 0 0 67 26 SW 2 2 2 1 NW39 7847 W18 128309 V 10/14-13 11 0 0 69 25 SW 5 5 2 1 NW37 8064 W20 139524 V 10/14-14 11 0 0 71 23 W 7 7 2 1 NW33 8280 W21 150739 E 10/14-15 11 0 0 71 23 NW 9 9 2 1 NW29 8497 W22 161953 E 10/14-16 11 0 0 71 23 W 8 8 2 1 NW25 6949 W21 127483 V 10/14-17 11 0 0 67 26 W 6 6 2 1 NW21 5401 W18 93012 G 10/14-18 4 0 0 64 30 W 3 3 2 1 NW17 3852 W17 58541 F 10/14-19 4 0 0 60 33 W 5 5 2 1 NW15 2925 W17 43869 F 10/14-20 4 0 0 59 34 W 6 6 3 1 NW14 1998 W16 29197 P 10/14-21 4 0 0 58 35 W 8 8 3 1 NW16 1071 W16 14525 P 10/14-22 4 0 0 57 35 W 8 8 3 1 NW22 869 W15 11576 P 10/14-23 4 0 0 56 36 W 8 8 3 1 NW30 666 W15 8627 P 10/15-00 4 0 0 55 37 SW 8 8 3 1 NW35 463 W14 5678 P 10/15-01 4 0 0 54 38 W 9 9 3 1 NW35 404 W15 5230 P 10/15-02 4 0 0 53 38 W 9 9 4 1 NW32 344 W16 4782 P 10/15-03 4 0 0 51 40 W10 10 4 1 NW29 285 W17 4334 P 10/15-04 4 0 0 50 42 W10 10 4 1 NW26 240 W17 3546 P 10/15-05 4 0 0 49 43 W10 10 5 1 NW24 194 W16 2758 P 10/15-06 9 0 0 48 45 W10 10 5 1 NW24 149 W15 1970 P 10/15-07 9 0 0 48 46 W12 12 5 1 NW25 280 W18 5299 P 10/15-08 9 0 0 52 39 W12 12 4 1 NW29 410 W22 8627 P 10/15-09 9 0 0 59 30 W13 13 4 1 NW35 540 W25 11955 P 10/15-10 9 0 0 64 25 W14 14 4 1 W45 2293 W31 77516 G 10/15-11 9 0 0 68 22 W15 23 3 1 W56 4047 W36 143077 V 10/15-12 9 0 0 70 20 W15 24 3 1 W64 5800 W41 208638 E 10/15-13 9 0 0 72 19 W14 22 3 1 W66 7075 W41 254586 E 10/15-14 9 0 0 74 17 W12 12 2 1 W62 8351 W41 300533 E 10/15-15 9 0 0 74 17 W10 10 2 1 W59 9626 W41 346481 E 10/15-16 9 0 0 73 18 W 9 9 2 1 W58 6893 W33 238070 E 10/15-17 9 0 0 69 21 W 8 8 2 1 W56 4159 W25 129659 V 10/15-18 12 1 0 64 24 W 7 7 2 1 W55 1426 W17 21248 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...VAUGHN JONES REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111013.LOWER.01/BOU