FNUS73 KDMX 131231 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR CAMP DODGE FIRE ACADEMY...TNC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 731 AM CDT THU OCT 13 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON OCTOBER 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. PLEASE REMEMBER TO SUBMIT A MID BURN OBSERVATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. .DISCUSSION... SUNNY SKIES AND STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING AS A DEEP MIXED LAYER FORMS. SUSTAINED WINDS AT 15 TO 20 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY LATE MORNING WITH SURFACE GUSTS OF UP TO 30 MPH. WINDY CONDITIONS ARE ALSO EXPECTED ON FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........62 AT IGNITION...MAX 69. RH..................56 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 21 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL BY MID AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 5100 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 13 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 32 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 28 TO 37 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO AROUND 18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (19200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (226900 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 21 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........18 18 18 17 15 13 11 10 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TSTM COV........ TEMP............62 64 66 67 68 68 67 64 RH..............56 52 48 45 42 42 42 45 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W 20 FT WIND SPD..17 18 20 21 21 20 17 15 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 30 30 30 30 25 20 EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W EYE LVL WND SPD.12 13 14 15 15 14 12 11 EYE LVL WND GST.25 25 30 30 30 30 25 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 3.5 4.6 5.6 6.6 7.6 5.1 2.7 MIXNG WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW MIXNG WIND SPD..29 32 35 37 37 35 28 18 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46. RH..................MAX 65 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 10 PM 1 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........9 8 8 12 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV........ TEMP............61 55 52 50 RH..............48 55 56 61 20 FT WIND......W 13G15 W 9G10 W 10G15 W 10G15 EYE LEVEL WIND..W 9G15 W 6G10 W 7G15 W 7G15 MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 300 300 MIXNG WIND......W 12 W 12 W 14 NW 13 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 .FRIDAY... EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 8300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 3200 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........WEST 12 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 23 TO 29 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 31 TO 39 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON DECREASING TO AROUND 26 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (21800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (284300 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 11 AM 3 PM 20 FT WIND......W 12G15 NW 20G30 NW 21G30 EYE LEVEL WIND..W 9G15 NW 14G30 NW 15G30 MIX HGT (FT)....300 3200 8300 MIXNG WIND......W 12 NW 33 NW 38 $$ FORECASTER...COGIL REQUESTED BY...DOUG CHAFA TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111013.CAMPD.01/DMX