FNUS75 KGJT 130014
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR GARCIA RX...SOUTHERN UTE BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
614 PM MDT WED OCT 12 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1745 MDT ON OCTOBER 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE EXPANDING ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AND LOW PRESSURE
HANGING IN ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES THROUGH LATE WEEK WILL LEAVE A DRY
NORTHWEST FLOW IN PLACE ACROSS WESTERN COLORADO. TEMPERATURES ARE
ALSO EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO ABOVE NORMAL READING BOTH THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...LEAVING MINIMUM TEMPERATURES NEAR OR BELOW THE 20 PERCENT
MARK BY PEAK HEATING. STRONG SURFACE INVERSIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SET
UP NEAR SUNSET AND PERSIST THROUGH LATE MORNING...LEAVING WINDS TO
BE TERRAIN DRIVEN. AS HEATING TAKES PLACE...MIXING UP TO THE 5 TO 7
THOUSAND FOOT AGL MARK...SHOULD LEAVE FAIR TO GOOD DISPERSAL
CONDITIONS AS WINDS TURN TO THE WEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AT 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH LATE MORNING INCREASING TO FAIR
                    BY MID AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL OR LESS THROUGH LATE MORNING
                    INCREASING TO NEAR 5000 FT AGL BY MID AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........54-59%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH EARLY EVENING
                    TURNING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AT 3 TO 5 MPH
                    AFTER SUNSET.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR IN THE EARLY EVENING DROPPING TO POOR
                    BY SUNSET.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DROPPING TO UNDER 1000 FT AGL AFTER SUNSET.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH THROUGH SUNSET...THEN 5 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 5 MPH THROUGH MID
                    MORNING BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH BY MID
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH LATE MORNING LIFTING TO GOOD
                    BY MID AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO NEAR 7000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 11 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...RICH GUSTAFSON  FMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111013.GARCI.01/GJT