FNUS76 KMFR 130031
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR CRESCENT BUTTE...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
531 PM PDT WED OCT 12 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PDT ON OCTOBER 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA WITH WARMER AND
DRIER WEATHER. AN INVERSION WILL BE PRESENT IN THE MORNING AND
EXPECT MODERATE RECOVERIES ON THE RIDGES. HOWEVER...WINDS AND
MIXING HEIGHTS INCREASE TOMORROW COMPARED TO TODAY. THEN THE RIDGE
WEAKENS THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH A WEAK COLD FRONT PASSING THROUGH
AND A SLIGHT COOLING TREND. BEHIND THIS FRONT THE RIDGE
STRENGTHENS WITH WARM AN DRY WEATHER EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THEN...AN UPPER LOW THAT DEVELOPS OFF THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND OVER THE AREA TUESDAY AND BRING A CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE WIND TO 2 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST WIND
                    2 TO 4 MPH AROUND MID AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 11 TO 16 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING DOWNSLOPE WIND TO 2 MPH LATE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING NORTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH EARLY TO MID
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...NELAIMISCHKIES
REQUESTED BY...SYNDY ZERR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111013.CRESC.01/MFR