FNUS73 KDLH 142018
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR PAGAMI WILDFIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
318 PM CDT FRI OCT 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1511 CDT ON OCTOBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST OVER 30 MPH THIS EVENING...DECREASE A BIT
TONIGHT...THEN INCREASE AGAIN ON SATURDAY. THERE COULD BE A COUPLE BRIEF
SHOWERS EARLY THIS EVENING.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO 10
                    TO 13 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 40 TO 45 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (169900) DECREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (96800).

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
TEMP............42     39     38     36     36     35
RH..............67     76     76     82     79     82
20 FT WIND DIR..NW     NW     NW     NW     NW     NW
20 FT WIND SPD..16     14     14     11     10     9
20 FT WIND GUST.25     23     21     20     20     17

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 18
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH...THEN
                    DECREASING TO AROUND 13 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4300 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 40 TO 45 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (105100) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (137400) LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING
                    TO EXCELLENT (159900) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (131000) LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............34     36     41     44     46     45
RH..............82     72     57     51     47     49
20 FT WIND DIR..W      W      W      NW     W      W
20 FT WIND SPD..9      11     14     16     16     14
20 FT WIND GUST.18     21     26     33     33     30

$$
FORECASTER...CAROL
REQUESTED BY...BRUCE GIERSDORF  MIKE LOCKE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20111014.PAGAM.04/DLH