FNUS75 KGJT 150349
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR GARCIA RX...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
949 PM MDT FRI OCT 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF ABOUT 1100 MDT ON OCTOBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA...WITH NORMAL
SLOPE AND VALLEY WINDS UNTIL EARLY AFTERNOON...WHEN OCCASIONAL STRONGER
GUSTS ARE EXPECTED. CLEAR SKIES AT NIGHT WILL MEAN STRONG RADIATIONAL
COOLING AND THE FORMATION OF SHALLOW SURFACE-BASED INVERSIONS. THESE
WILL HOLD DOWN VERTICAL MIXING AND NOT BURN OFF UNTIL LATE MORNING
EACH DAY. ON SUNDAY A DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN COLORADO
CAUSING WINDS TO INCREASE AND BECOME MORE WESTERLY ACROSS ALL OF
WESTERN COLORADO.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-7 MPH. AFTER 1300
                    EXPECT OCCASIONAL GUSTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO
                    AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR.
                    INCREASING TO GOOD BY 1400.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    BECOMING WEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........49-54%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......AFTER DARK...DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7500 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....AFTER DARK...DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL ABOUT 1000...
                    THEN BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST 7-12 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 20 MPH...AFTER 1400 WINDS INCREASING
                    TO WEST 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (13000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL TO FAIR BY 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING VERY GOOD ABOUT 1400.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN INCREASING TO 7500
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN BECOMING WEST
                    AND INCREASING TO 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CHRIS CUOCO
REQUESTED BY...RICH GUSTAFSON  FMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111014.GARCI.02/GJT