FNUS73 KDLH 151100 FWSDLH SPOT FORECAST FOR PAGAMI WILDFIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN 600 AM CDT SAT OCT 15 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0513 CDT ON OCTOBER 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... BROKEN SKIES AROUND 4 KFT EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SCATTERED AROUND 5 KT AROUND NOON...THEN CLEARING THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON. THE CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE EVENING...WITH SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS RETURNING AROUND MIDNIGHT AND INCREASING THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING. WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS (290-310 DEGREES) WILL CONTINUE TO BE GUSTY TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. WINDS WILL FREQUENTLY GUST AROUND 25 MPH THIS MORNING...INCREASING TO FREQUENT GUSTS AROUND 35 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING. LOWERED MINIMUM RH SOME TODAY AND SUNDAY TO ACCOUNT FOR MIXING HEIGHTS AROUND 5 KFT THIS AFTERNOON TO BRING LOWER DEW POINTS IN THE MID 20S F TO THE SURFACE. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL INCREASE ON SUNDAY TO AROUND 6-7 KFT SUNDAY AFTERNOON ALLOWING FOR DRIER AIR AND POSSIBLE STRONGER WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH TO MIX DOWN. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY...BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48. MIN HUMIDITY........37-43 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH...INCREASING 14 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3600 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 40 TO 45 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (95900) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (135200) LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (164200) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (112400) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............36 38 42 46 47 47 RH..............82 76 60 48 40 40 20 FT WIND DIR..WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW 20 FT WIND SPD..10 12 14 16 16 16 20 FT WIND GUST.23 24 27 32 33 28 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR EARLY...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36. MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 IN THE EVENING...DECREASING 7 TO 13 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4300). TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM TEMP............42 37 36 35 34 34 RH..............50 63 70 77 84 87 20 FT WIND DIR..WNW W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..12 9 8 7 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.22 15 13 12 12 12 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50. MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 35 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 40 TO 45 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (22800) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (290600). TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............33 35 41 46 48 47 RH..............88 77 57 45 38 39 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..7 10 14 17 18 18 20 FT WIND GUST.12 17 24 33 34 35 $$ FORECASTER...AMANDA REQUESTED BY...MIKE LOCKE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20111015.PAGAM.01/DLH