FNUS75 KGJT 152202
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR GARCIA RX...SJNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
402 PM MDT SAT OCT 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1550 MDT ON OCTOBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE IS BEGINNING TO BREAK DOWN ALLOWING
HIGH CLOUDS TO INVADE. THE SURFACE-BASED INVERSION WILL BEGIN TO
SET UP BEFORE SUNSET AND WILL ONLY BE OF MODERATE STRENGTH OVERNIGHT.
ON SUNDAY A DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN COLORADO INCREASING
WEST AFTERNOON GRADIENT WINDS.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........35-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWN VALLEY 3-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PERIODS OF HIGH CLOUDS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL ABOUT 1000...
                    THEN LIGHT AND VARIABLE. AFTER 1200...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS 15-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR...BECOMING VERY GOOD
                    ABOUT 1400.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...BETH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111015.GARCI.01/GJT