FNUS74 KLZK 151219 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFFALO BLOCK 1...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 719 AM CDT SAT OCT 15 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON OCTOBER 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WINDS OF 4 TO 8 MPH ARE EXPECTED OVER THE STATE TODAY. AFTER STARTING OFF VARIABLE...THE WIND DIRECTION WILL VEER FROM EASTERLY MID MORNING TO SOUTHERLY BY THE LATE AFTERNOON TO SOUTHWESTERLY TONIGHT. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP INTO THE 20-30 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON...THOUGH LIKELY NOT BE AS LOW AS THEY WERE ON FRIDAY. THE WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST ON SUNDAY AND COMBINE WITH AFTERNOON RH VALUES IN THE UPPER 20S TO NEAR 35 PERCENT TO CREATE WHAT WILL LIKELY BE THE MOST HAZARDOUS FIRE WEATHER DAY OF THE WEEK. INCREASING MOISTURE WILL BE NOTED ON MONDAY FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT AND RAIN CHANCES MONDAY NIGHT. TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL FEATURE DRY CONDITIONS AND GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........69 AT IGNITION...MAX 84. RH..................41 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3300 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS EAST AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............69 74 79 82 83 84 84 RH..............41 34 29 26 25 25 25 20 FT WIND DIR..E SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND DIR.E SE SE SE SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 3 3 3 3 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 7 8 9 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 53. RH..................MAX 81 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 12 MPH. STABILITY CLASS.....6. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............80 76 72 68 65 62 61 59 58 56 55 55 RH..............29 33 39 45 50 55 59 62 66 70 73 76 20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.3 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...58 REQUESTED BY...TIM NUTLEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111015.BUFFA.01/LZK